More publications of this project

Thomas Bräuninger, Thomas Gschwend, Susumu Shikano
2010
Sachpolitik oder Parteipolitik? Eine Bestimmung des Parteidrucks im Bundesrat mittles bayesianischer Methoden
S. 223-249
Michael F. Meffert, Thomas Gschwend
2010
Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria
S. 339-349
Helmut Norpoth, Thomas Gschwend
2010
The Chancellor Model: Forecasting German Elections
S. 42-53
Michael F. Meffert, Thomas Gschwend
2009
Strategisches Wählen in Mehrparteiensystemen: ein Gruppenexperiment
S. 107-132
Baden-Baden
Nomos
Thomas Gschwend
2009
Über elektorale Folgen der Politikverflechtung in Mehrebenensystemen: Auswirkungen der bundespolitschen Großwetterlage und Landtagswahlen
Frankfurt/Main
Susumu Shikano, Michael Herrmann, Paul W. Thurner
2009
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation: Threshold Insurance in German Elections
S. 634-656
Michael F. Meffert, Thomas Gschwend
2009
Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effects.
Berg en Dal
Thomas Gschwend
2009
District Magnitude and the Comparative Study of Strategic Voting
S. 289-307
Oxford
Oxford University Press
Thomas Gschwend
2009
Siegt 2009 Schwarz-Gelb? Wahlprognosen per Zauberformel
Gütersloh
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2008
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation and Coalition governments: A Laboratory Experiment
Paris
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2008
Voting for Coalitions? The Role of Coalition Preferences
Chicago
Thomas Gschwend
2008
X-zentriert statt x-beliebig: Zur Bedeutung von Randomisierung für Kausalanalysen der Politik- und Verwaltungsforschung
Universität Konstanz
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2008
Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria
Boston, Mass.
Thomas Gschwend
2008
Koalitionssignale und Wahlverhalten
Universität Oldenburg
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2008
Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effects
Duisburg
Thomas Gschwend
2008
Vorhersagen müssen keine Hexerei sein
Darmstadt
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2008
Strategisches Wahlverhalten in Mehrparteiensystemen: Ein Gruppenexperiment
Mainz
Martin Elff, Thomas Gschwend, Johnston Ron
2008
Ignoramus, Ignorabimus? On Uncertainty in Ecological Inference
S. 70-92
Thomas Gschwend
2008
Kausale Inferenz mit Koalitionssignalen
Universität Zürich
Michael Herrmann
2008
Estimating Uncertainty in Strategic Voting
Jena
Michael Herrmann, Franz Urban Pappi
2008
Strategic voting in German constituencies
S. 228-244
Thomas Gschwend
2008
Strategisches Wählerverhalten und Wahlsystem
Universität Bamberg
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert, Sascha Huber, Franz Urban Pappi
2008
More than Wishful Thinking: Causes and Consequences of Voter's Expectations about Election Outcomes
Montréal
Thomas Gschwend
2008
Abgeordnetenhauswahlen sind keine Bundestagswahlen. Oder doch? Erfahrungsbericht aus Berlin
S. 93-120
Baden-Baden
Nomos
Thomas Gschwend
2008
Kausale Effekte von Koalitionssignalen? Experimentelle Evidenz
Universität Bern
Thomas Gschwend
2007
Vorhersagen müssen keine Hexerei sein: Ein sozialwissenschaftliches Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen
Universität Darmstadt
Thomas Gschwend
2007
Berliner Abgeordnetenhauswahlen 1979 bis 2001: keine Testwahlen für die Bundesebene
S. 531-540
Thomas Gschwend
2007
Goldoni Goes Comparative: Institutional Incentives and Vote Choice
Genf
Thomas Gschwend, Marc Hooghe
2007
Voter Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions in Belgium. Results from an Experimental Study
Brüssel
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2007
Voting for Coalitions? The Role of Coalition Preferences and Expectations in Voting Behavior
Exeter
Thomas Gschwend
2007
Ticket-splitting and strategic voting under mixed electoral rules: Evidence from Germany
S. 1-23
Susumu Shikano
2007
Interactive Mechanism of Mixed-member Electoral Systems: A Theory-driven Comparative Analysis via Computational Modelling and Bayesian Statistics
S. 256
Mannheim
Universität Mannheim
Thomas Gschwend
2007
Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting and Party System Change in Portugal
S. 15-31
Thomas Gschwend
2007
Contamination effects in multi-level systems of governance
Villa La Collina, Cadenabbia
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2007
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation & Coalition Governments: A Simulation and Laboratory Experiment
Lambrecht/Pfalz
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2007
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation and Coalition Governments: A Case for Experimental Triangulation
Brüssel
Howard Lavine, Thomas Gschwend
2007
Issues, Parties and Character: The Moderating Role of Ideological Thinking on Candidate Evaluation
S. 139-163
Thomas Gschwend, Patric Andersson, Michael F. Meffert, Carsten Schmidt
2006
Forecasting the Outcome of a National Election: The Influence of Expertise, Information, and Political Preferences
Dresden
Franz Urban Pappi, Alexander Herzog, Ralf Schmitt
2006
Koalitionssignale und die Kombination von Erst- und Zweitstimme bei den Bundestagswahlen 1953 bis 2005
S. 493-513
Joachim Behnke, Thomas Gschwend, Delia Schindler, Kai-Uwe Schnapp
2006
Methoden der Politikwissenschaft. Neuere qualitative und quantitative Analyseverfahren
S. 364
Baden-Baden
Nomos
Thomas Gschwend
2006
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems
Florenz
Thomas Gschwend, Martin Elff, Ron Johnston
2006
What Can We Learn From Almost Nothing? An Extended Maximum Entropy Approach to Uncertainty in RxC Ecological Inference, with an Application to Split-Ticket Voting
Harvard
Kai-Uwe Schnapp, Delia Schindler, Thomas Gschwend, Joachim Behnke
2006
Qualitative und Quantitative Zugänge: Eine integrative Perspektive
S. 11-26
Baden-Baden
Nomos
Thomas Gschwend
2006
District Magnitude and the Comparative Study of Strategic Voting
Philadelphia
Thomas Gschwend, Henk van der Kolk
2006
Split Ticket Voting in Mixed Member Proportional Systems: The Hypothetical Case of The Netherlands
S. 163-179
Thomas Gschwend
2006
Pre-electoral Identifiability of potential Governments: Measurement and Consequences
Barcelona
Thomas Gschwend
2006
"Abgeordnetenhauswahlen sind keine Bundestagswahlen. Oder doch? Erfahrungsbericht aus Berlin."
Deutscher Bundestag, Berlin
Thomas Gschwend
2006
Identifiability of Coalitions, District Magnitude and Strategic Voting
Chicago
Martin Elff, Thomas Gschwend
2006
How Much Can Be Inferred From Almost Nothing? A Maximum Entropy Approach to Fundamental Indeterminacy in Ecological Inference With an Application to District-Level Prediction of Split-Ticket Voting
Vienna
Thomas Gschwend
2006
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems
Nottingham
Thomas Gschwend, Martin Elff
2005
EMax - Die Ergänzung der ökologischen Inferenz durch Survey-Daten
Hagen
Thomas Gschwend
2005
Analyzing Quota Sample Data and the Peer-Review Process
S. 88-91
Thomas Gschwend, Henk van der Kolk
2005
Split ticket voting in Mixed Member Proportional Systems: The case of The Netherlands
Amsterdam
Thomas Gschwend
2005
Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting under Mixed Electoral Rules: Evidence from Germany
S. 05-06
Mannheim
Thomas Gschwend
2005
Electoral Studies - Editorial Board Meeting
Washigton, DC
Thomas Gschwend
2005
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems
Chicago, IL
Thomas Gschwend, Marc Hooghe
2005
Should I Stay or Should I Go? Voter Reactions to Pre-Electoral Coalitions. Results from an Experimental Study in Belgium
Antwerp
Andreas Broscheid, Thomas Gschwend
2005
Zur statistischen Analyse von Vollerhebungen
S. O-16 – O-26
Thomas Gschwend, Helmut Norpoth
2005
Prognosemodell auf dem Prüfstand: Die Bundestagswahl 2005
S. 682-688
Thomas Gschwend
2005
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems
Washington, DC
Michael F. Meffert, Amber Joiner, Sungeun Chung, Leah Waks
2005
Formation and Change of Candidate Preferences during Information Search: The Role of Issues, Candidates, and Message Valence
Washington, DC
Thomas Gschwend
2005
Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting: The Case of Portugal
Lisbon
Thomas Gschwend, Galen Irwin, Joop van Holsteyn
2005
Clarity of pre-election coalitions and strategic voting in PR systems: The case of the Netherlands
Antwerp
Thomas Gschwend
2005
Ökologische Inferenz
Mannheim
Helmut Norpoth, Thomas Gschwend
2005
Mit Rot-Grün ins Schwarze getroffen: Prognosemodell besteht Feuertaufe
S. 371-387
Wiesbaden
Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften
Thomas Gschwend
2005
Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting: The Case of Portugal
Lisbon
Thomas Gschwend
2005
Strategic Voting in Belgium
Antwerp
Franz Urban Pappi, Thomas Gschwend
2005
Partei- und Koalitionspräferenzen der Wähler bei den Bundestagswahlen 1998 und 2002
S. 284-305
Wiesbaden
Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften
Thomas Gschwend
2004
Electoral Institutions and Electoral Behavior: Results of a Natural Experiment.
University of Leiden
Thomas Gschwend
2004
Political institutions: The impact of constitutions and election laws on the formation of political parties and party systems in the accession countries of the European Union.
Institut d’Études Politiques de Paris, Sciences Po, Dijon Campus
Thomas Gschwend
2004
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems
S. 04-41
Mannheim
Thomas Gschwend
2004
Strategic Voting in Mixed-Electoral Systems
S. 101
Reutlingen
SFG-Servicecenter Fachverlag
Thomas Gschwend, Michael Stoiber, Mareen Günther
2004
Strategic Voting in Proportional Systems: The Case of Finland
Chicago, IL
Thomas Gschwend
2004
Wählen und Wahlsystem: Ergebnisse eines natürlichen Experiments des deutschen Mischwahlsystems
Universität Zürich
Ron Johnston, Thomas Gschwend, Charles Pattie
2004
On Estimates of Split-Ticket Voting: EI and EMax
S. 04-40
Mannheim
Thomas Gschwend
2003
Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting in Mixed Electoral Systems
Mannheim
MZES
Thomas Gschwend, Ron Johnston, Charles Pattie
2003
Split-Ticket Patterns in Mixed-Member Proportional Election Systems: Estimates and Analyses of their Spatial Variation at the German Federal Election, 1998
S. 109-127
Thomas Gschwend
2003
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems
Philadelphia, PA.
Thomas Gschwend
2003
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: An Empirical Test of the Leys-Sartori Conjecture
Chicago, IL
Thomas Gschwend
2003
Iterative EI-Schätzungen und das interne Konsistenzproblem
S. 262-267
Franz Urban Pappi, Paul W. Thurner
2002
Electoral Behavior in a Two-Vote-System: Incentives for Ticket Splitting in German Bundestag Elections
S. 207-232
Paul W. Thurner
1999
Taktisch oder Aufrichtig? Zur Untersuchung des Stimmensplittings bei Bundestagswahlen. Eine Replik auf Harald Schoens Beitrag in Heft 2/1998 der Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen
S. 163-166
Paul W. Thurner, Franz Urban Pappi
1999
Causes and Effects of Coalition Preferences in a Mixed-Member Proportional System
Mannheim
MZES
Paul W. Thurner, Franz Urban Pappi
1998
Measuring and Explaining Strategic Voting in the German Electoral System
Mannheim
MZES
Franz Urban Pappi, Gabriele Eckstein
1996
Die Parteipräferenzen und Koalitionsneigungen der west- und ostdeutschen Wählerschaft
S. 631-657