More publications of this project

Marie-Lou Sohnius, Thomas Gschwend, Oliver Rittmann
2022
Welche Auswirkungen haben größere Wahlkreise auf das Politische Verhalten? Ein empirischer Beitrag zur Wahlrechtsreform
S. 685-701
Marie-Lou Sohnius, Thomas Gschwend, Oliver Rittmann
2022
Unintended Consequences of Increasing Electoral Districts? Evidence From Germany
Berlin
Damien Bol, Thomas Gschwend, Thomas Zittel, Steffen Zittlau
2021
The Importance of Personal Vote Intentions for the Responsiveness of Legislators: A Field Experiment
S. 455-473
Anna Adendorf, Ines Rehbein, Oke Bahnsen, Thomas Gschwend, Simone Paolo Ponzetto, Lukas F. Stötzer
2021
Who wants to go with whom? Identifying coalition signals in newspaper articles using transfer learning
(virtual conference)
Klara Dentler, Thomas Gschwend, David Hünlich
2021
A swing vote from the ethnic backstage: The role of German American isolationist tradition for Trump’s 2016 victory
S. (article no. 102309)
Oke Bahnsen, Ulrich Müller, Georg W. Alpers
2021
Anxiety does not Change Political Attitudes. A Threat of Shock Experiment
Berlin
Thomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Oliver Rittmann
2021
Simulating Quantities of Interest when the Dependent Variable is Logged
(virtual conference)
Anna Adendorf, Ines Rehbein, Oke Bahnsen, Thomas Gschwend, Simone Paolo Ponzetto, Lukas F. Stötzer
2021
Who wants to go with whom? Identifying coalition signals in newspaper articles using transfer learning
(virtual conference)
Anna Adendorf, Markus Baumann, Rosa M. Navarrete
2021
Tweeting Out Loud. Coalition Signals in Social Media
(virtual conference)
Ulrich Müller, Oke Bahnsen, Georg W. Alpers
2020
Anxiety Politics - Evidence from a Pre-Registered Experiment on the Impact of Threat of Shock on Political Attitudes
(virtual conference)
Anna Adendorf, Martin Gross
2020
Under Pressure: Dominant Parties' Reactions to Euroskeptic Challenger Parties in European Regions
(virtual conference)
Oke Bahnsen
2020
Coalition Signals - Cheap Talk for Voters?
(virtual conference)
Oke Bahnsen, Thomas Gschwend, Lukas F. Stötzer
2020
How do coalition signals shape voting behavior? Revealing the mediating role of coalition expectations
S. (article no. 102166)
Anna Adendorf
2020
Talk Dirty to Me: Coalition Signals throughout the Electoral Cycle
(virtual)
Anna Adendorf
2019
First Things First. Topic Order as an Indicator of Issue Emphasis in Election Manifestos
Aarhus
Lukas F. Stötzer, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, Sebastian Sternberg
2019
Forecasting Elections in Multiparty Systems: A Bayesian Approach Combining Polls and Fundamentals
S. 255-262
Oke Bahnsen
2019
Coalition Signals - Cheap Talk for Voters?
Belfast
Anna Adendorf
2019
Talk Dirty to Me. Coalition Signals throughout the Electoral Cycle
Belfast
Anna Adendorf
2019
Talk Dirty to Me. Coalition Signals throughout the Electoral Cycle
Zürich
Roni Lehrer, Sebastian Juhl, Thomas Gschwend
2019
The Wisdom of Crowds Design for Sensitive Survey Questions
S. 99-109
Oke Bahnsen
2019
Government Survival in Presence of Pre-Electoral Coalitions
Zürich
Lukas F. Stötzer, Indridi I. Indridason, Thomas Gschwend
2018
Pre-Electoral Coalition Strategies in Multiparty Systems
Frankfurt am Main
Thomas Gschwend, Sebastian Juhl, Roni Lehrer
2018
Die "Sonntagsfrage", soziale Erwünschtheit und die AfD: Wie alternative Messmethoden der Politikwissenschaft weiterhelfen können
S. 493-519
Arndt Leininger, Lukas Rudolph, Steffen Zittlau
2018
How to Increase Turnout in Low-Salience Elections: Quasi-Experimental Evidence on the Effect of Concurrent Second-Order Elections on Political Participation
S. 509-526
Thomas Gschwend, Indridi H. Indridason, Lukas F. Stötzer
2018
Pre-Electoral Coalition Strategies in Multiparty Systems
Vienna
Sona N. Golder, Ignacio Lago, André Blais, Elisabeth Gidengil, Thomas Gschwend
2017
Multi-Level Electoral Politics. Beyond the Second-Order Election Model
S. 224
Oxford
Oxford University Press
Simon Munzert, Lukas F. Stötzer, Thomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Sebastian Sternberg
2017
Zweitstimme.org. Ein strukturell-dynamisches Vorhersagemodell für Bundestagswahlen
S. 418-441
Lukas F. Stötzer, Simon Munzert, Thomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Sebastian Sternberg
2017
Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach
Milan
Thomas Gschwend, Helmut Norpoth
2017
Machtwechsel in Sicht? Die Vorhersage des Kanzlermodells für die Bundestagswahl 2017
S. 392-406
Lukas F. Stötzer, Simon Munzert, Thomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Sebastian Sternberg
2017
Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach
University of Amsterdam
Helmut Norpoth, Thomas Gschwend
2017
No country for neophytes: Angela Merkel will win Germany again
Washington, DC
Capitol Hill Publishing
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert, Lukas F. Stötzer
2017
Weighting Parties and Coalitions: How Coalition Signals Influence Voting Behavior
S. 642-655
Benjamin G. Engst, Thomas Gschwend, Sebastian Sternberg
2017
Public Support for Judicial Nominations: Evidence from a Discrete-Choice Experiment
Milan
Helmut Norpoth, Thomas Gschwend
2017
Chancellor Model Predicts a Change of the Guards
S. 686-688
Lukas F. Stötzer, Simon Munzert, Thomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Sebastian Sternberg
2017
Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach
Oslo
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2017
Strategic Voting
S. 339-366
London
Sage
Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Sebastian Sternberg, Lukas F. Stötzer
2017
New German election forecast: Merkel’s party will win but lose seats
Thomas Gschwend
2016
Strategic and Sincere Voting in Multi-level Systems
Brussels
Thomas Gschwend
2016
Strategic and Sincere Voting in Multi-level Systems
Montreal, Kanada
Thomas Gschwend, Lukas F. Stötzer, Steffen Zittlau
2015
Valence Campaigning in the 2008 US Congressional Elections
San Francisco
Lukas F. Stötzer, Steffen Zittlau
2015
Multidimensional Spatial Voting with Non-separable Preferences
S. 415-428
Steffen Zittlau
2015
Multi-level spatial voting: Vote switching in EP elections and European integration preferences
Vienna
Lukas F. Stötzer, Steffen Zittlau, Thomas Gschwend, Tobias Witt
2015
Leihstimmen im Bundestagswahljahr 2013
S. 88-107
Indridi H. Indridason, Thomas Gschwend
2015
Estimating Policy Perceptions of Party Influence on Coalition Policy Perceptions
Vienna
Matt Golder, Thomas Gschwend, Indridi H. Indridason
2014
Negative Campaigning in Multicandidate Primary Elections
Edinnburgh
Thomas Gschwend, Lukas F. Stötzer, Steffen Zittlau
2014
Why don't you talk about policy? Valence campaigning in the 2008 US Congressional elections
Edinburgh
Shaun Bowler, Thomas Gschwend, Indridi H. Indridason
2014
Coalition Policy Perceptions
Edinburgh
André Blais, Ludovic Rheault, John H. Aldrich, Thomas Gschwend
2013
Understanding People's Choice When They Have Two Votes
University of Victoria, British Columbia
Damien Bol, Thomas Zittel, Thomas Gschwend
2013
The impact of the Electoral Context on Personal Vote Strategies: A Field Experiment on German Legislators
Sciences Po, Bordeaux
Matt Golder, Thomas Gschwend, Indridi H. Indridason
2013
Negative Campaigning
McGill University, Montreal
Helmut Norpoth, Thomas Gschwend
2013
Chancellor Model Picks Merkel in 2013 German Election
S. 481-482
Thomas Gschwend, Michael Meffert, Lukas F. Stötzer
2013
How Coalition Signals Influence Voting Behavior
Barcelona
Matt Golder, Thomas Gschwend, Indridi H. Indridason
2013
Negative Campaigning
Barcelona
Thomas Gschwend, Michael Stoiber
2012
Strategic Voting in Proportional Systems: The Case of Finland
Lissabon
The Effects of District Magnitude
Evelyn Bytzek, Thomas Gschwend, Sascha Huber, Eric Linhart, Michael F. Meffert
2012
Koalitionssignale und ihre Wirkungen auf Wahlentscheidungen
S. 393-418
Baden-Baden
Nomos
Marc Hooghe, Sofie Marien, Thomas Gschwend
2011
Gathering Counter-Factual Evidence: An Experimental Study on Voters’ Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions
S. 413-440
Basingstoke
Palgrave Macmillan
Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert
2011
Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effect
S. 636-667
André Blais, Thomas Gschwend
2010
Strategic Defection across Elections, Parties, and Voters
S. 176-196
Oxford
Oxford University Press