(2020):
How do coalition signals shape voting behavior? Revealing the mediating role of coalition expectations.
Electoral Studies, 66, issue August 2020, (article no. 102166).
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Dr. Lukas F. Stötzer
![](http://www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/d7/sites/default/files/styles/profile-picture/public/profile/images/stoetzer.jpg?itok=GkHzOyuG)
External fellow
lukas.stoetzer [at] hu-berlin.de
Phone:
+49-621-181-2842Postal Address
Humboldt University of Berlin
10117
Berlin
Germany
Visiting Address
Humboldt University of Berlin
10117
Berlin
Projects
B1 Conditions of Democratic Governance: Behaviour and Orientations of Citizens
B2 Contexts for Democratic Governance: Political Institutions
Publications
(Note: Generally, the former staff pages only feature publications that have been published at the MZES. Furthermore, the former staff pages feature publications that have been published in co-authorship with current MZES staff.)
Journal Articles
Stötzer, Lukas F., Marcel Neunhoeffer, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert and Sebastian Sternberg
(2019):
Forecasting Elections in Multiparty Systems: A Bayesian Approach Combining Polls and Fundamentals.
Political Analysis, 27, issue 2, pp. 255-262.
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Naumann, Elias, Lukas F. Stötzer and Giuseppe Pietrantuono
(2018):
Attitudes towards highly skilled and low-skilled immigration in Europe: A survey experiment in 15 European countries.
European Journal of Political Research, 57, issue 4, pp. 1009-1030.
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Naumann, Elias, and Lukas F. Stötzer
(2018):
Immigration and support for redistribution: survey experiments in three European countries.
West European Politics, 41, issue 1, pp. 80-101 .
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Gschwend, Thomas, Michael F. Meffert and Lukas F. Stötzer
(2017):
Weighting Parties and Coalitions: How Coalition Signals Influence Voting Behavior.
The Journal of Politics, 79, issue 2, pp. 642-655.
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Munzert, Simon, Lukas F. Stötzer, Thomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer and Sebastian Sternberg
(2017):
Zweitstimme.org. Ein strukturell-dynamisches Vorhersagemodell für Bundestagswahlen.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 58, issue 3, pp. 418-441.
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Gschwend, Thomas, Lukas F. Stötzer and Steffen Zittlau
(2016):
What drives rental votes? How coalitions signals facilitate strategic coalition voting.
Electoral Studies , 44, issue December, pp. 293-306.
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Stötzer, Lukas F., Steffen Zittlau, Thomas Gschwend and Tobias Witt
(2015):
Leihstimmen im Bundestagswahljahr 2013.
Journal of Political Psychology, 4, issue 1, pp. 88-107.
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Stötzer, Lukas F., and Steffen Zittlau
(2015):
Multidimensional Spatial Voting with Non-separable Preferences.
Political Analysis, 23, issue 3, pp. 415-428.
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Web Publications
Gschwend, Thomas, Simon Munzert, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Sebastian Sternberg and Lukas F. Stötzer
(2017):
New German election forecast: Merkel’s party will win but lose seats,
The Washington Post: Monkey Cage more
Conference Presentations
Adendorf, Anna, Ines Rehbein, Oke Bahnsen, Thomas Gschwend, Simone Paolo Ponzetto and Lukas F. Stötzer
(2021):
Who wants to go with whom? Identifying coalition signals in newspaper articles using transfer learning.
[11th Annual Meeting of the European Political Science Association, (virtual conference), June 24th to June 25th, 2021]
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Adendorf, Anna, Ines Rehbein, Oke Bahnsen, Thomas Gschwend, Simone Paolo Ponzetto and Lukas F. Stötzer
(2021):
Who wants to go with whom? Identifying coalition signals in newspaper articles using transfer learning.
[28. Wissenschaftlicher Kongress der Deutschen Vereinigung für Politikwissenschaft, (virtual conference), September 14th to September 16th, 2021]
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Gschwend, Thomas, Indridi H. Indridason and Lukas F. Stötzer
(2018):
Pre-Electoral Coalition Strategies in Multiparty Systems.
[8th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Vienna, June 21st to June 23rd, 2018]
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Stötzer, Lukas F., Indridi I. Indridason and Thomas Gschwend
(2018):
Pre-Electoral Coalition Strategies in Multiparty Systems.
[27. Wissenschaftliche Kongress der Deutschen Vereinigung für Politikwissenschaft, Frankfurt am Main, September 25th to September 28th, 2018]
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Stötzer, Lukas F., Simon Munzert, Thomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer and Sebastian Sternberg
(2017):
Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach.
[11th ECPR General Conference, Oslo, September 06th to September 09th, 2017]
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Stötzer, Lukas F., Simon Munzert, Thomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer and Sebastian Sternberg
(2017):
Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach.
[7th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Milan, June 22nd to June 24th, 2017]
more
Stötzer, Lukas F., Simon Munzert, Thomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer and Sebastian Sternberg
(2017):
Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach.
[Invited Talk, University of Amsterdam, September 14th, 2017]
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Gschwend, Thomas, Lukas F. Stötzer and Steffen Zittlau
(2015):
Valence Campaigning in the 2008 US Congressional Elections.
[111th Annual Conference of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, September 03rd to September 06th, 2015]
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Gschwend, Thomas, Lukas F. Stötzer and Steffen Zittlau
(2014):
Why don't you talk about policy? Valence campaigning in the 2008 US Congressional elections.
[4th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Edinburgh, June 19th to June 21st, 2014]
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Gschwend, Thomas, Michael Meffert and Lukas F. Stötzer
(2013):
How Coalition Signals Influence Voting Behavior.
[3rd Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Barcelona, June 20th to June 22nd, 2013]
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