(2009):
European Union Intergovernmental Conferences: Domestic Preference Formation, Transgovernmental Networks, and the Dynamics of Compromise.
New York / London:
Routledge.
[Routledge/Uaces Contemporary European Studies; 10]
more
Prof. Dr. Paul W. Thurner
former staff member
Phone:
+49-621-181-2842Research Interests
- Comparative Governance
- Empirical Application of Formal Models
- Discrete Choice Modelling / Network Analysis
- Electoral Research / Collective Decision Making
Projects
RP7 B2 Contexts for Democratic Governance
RP7 BI Associated Projects
RP5 B6 Institutionalization of International Negotiation Systems
RP1-3 Department II: Development Trends and Problems of Democratic Government Systems
Publications
(Note: Generally, the former staff pages only feature publications that have been published at the MZES. Furthermore, the former staff pages feature publications that have been published in co-authorship with current MZES staff.)
Monographs
Thurner, Paul W.
(2006):
Die graduelle Konstitutionalisierung der Europäischen Union. Eine quantitative Fallstudie am Beispiel der Regierungskonferenz 1996.
Tübingen:
Mohr Siebeck.
[Einheit der Gesellschaftswissenschaften; 136]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(1998):
Wählen als rationale Entscheidung. Die Modellierung von Politikreaktionen im Mehrparteiensystem.
München:
Oldenbourg.
more
Editions
Müller, Wolfgang C., and Paul W. Thurner
(Eds.)
(2017):
The Politics of Nuclear Energy in Western Europe.
Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
more
Pappi, Franz Urban, Eibe Riedel, Paul W. Thurner and Roland Vaubel
(Eds.)
(2004):
Die Institutionalisierung internationaler Verhandlungen.
Frankfurt/New York:
Campus.
[Mannheimer Jahrbuch für Europäische Sozialforschung; 8]
more
Journal Articles
Mauerer, Ingrid, Paul W. Thurner and Marc Debus
(2015):
Under Which Conditions Do Parties Attract Voters’ Reactions to Issues? Party-Varying Issue Voting in German Elections 1987–2009.
West European Politics, 38, issue 6, pp. 1251-1273.
more
Shikano, Susumu, Michael Herrmann and Paul W. Thurner
(2009):
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation: Threshold Insurance in German Elections.
West European Politics, 32, issue 3, pp. 634-656.
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Martin Binder
(2009):
European Union Transgovernmental Networks: The Emergence of a New Political Space beyond the Nation-State?.
European Journal of Political Research, 48, issue 1, pp. 80-106.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2008):
Rezension von: Hofmann, Herwig/Türk, Alexander (Hrsg.), 2005: EU Administrative Governance. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
European Journal of International Law, issue 19, pp. 455-456.
more
Boockmann, Bernhard, and Paul W. Thurner
(2006):
Flexibility Provisions in Multilateral Environmental Treaties.
International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, 6, pp. 113-135.
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Franz Urban Pappi
(2006):
Domestic and International Politics during EU Intergovernmental Conferences. Bridging the Gap between Negotiation Theory and Practice.
Negotiation Journal, 22, issue 2, pp. 167-185.
more
Thurner, Paul W., Michael Stoiber and Cornelia Weinmann
(2005):
Informelle Transgouvernementale Koordinationsnetzwerke der Ministerialbürokratie der EU-Mitgliedstaaten bei einer Regierungskonferenz.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 46, issue 4, pp. 552-574.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2005):
Rezension von Thomas Bräuninger: Internationale Institutionenpolitik: die Wahl von Entscheidungsregeln für die Meeresbodenbehörde.
Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie, 57, issue 2, pp. 356-358.
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Eric Linhart
(2004):
Political Multilevel Negotiations and Issue Linkage during an EU Intergovernmental Conference: An Empirical Application.
Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory. (Special Issue on Social Structures, Decision Making, and Governance in the Information Society, ed. by Giampiero E.G. Beroggi), 10, issue 3, pp. 243-266.
more
Thurner, Paul W., Clemens Kroneberg and Michael Stoiber
(2003):
Strategisches Signalisieren bei internationalen Verhandlungen. Eine quantitative Analyse am Beispiel der Regierungskonferenz 1996.
Zeitschrift für Internationale Beziehungen, 10, issue 2, pp. 287-320.
more
Pappi, Franz Urban, and Paul W. Thurner
(2002):
Electoral Behavior in a Two-Vote-System: Incentives for Ticket Splitting in German Bundestag Elections.
European Journal of Political Research, 41, pp. 207-232.
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Michael Stoiber
(2002):
Interministerielle Netzwerke: Formale und informelle Koordinationsstrukturen bei der Vorbereitung der deutschen Verhandlungspositionen zur Regierungskonferenz 1996.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 42, issue 4, pp. 561-605.
more
Pappi, Franz Urban, and Paul W. Thurner
(2000):
Die deutschen Wähler und der Euro: Auswirkungen auf die Bundestagswahl 1998?.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift(PVS), 41, issue 3, pp. 435-465.
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Angelika Eymann
(2000):
Policy-specific alienation and indifference in the calculus of voting: A simultaneous model of party choice and abstention.
Public Choice, issue 102, pp. 51-77.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2000):
The empirical application of the spatial theory of voting in multiparty systems with random utility models.
Electoral Studies, issue 19, pp. 493-517.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2000):
Überhangmandate: theoretisch und empirisch unerschöpft. Rezension von Holger Jakob: Überhangmandat und Gleichheit der Wahl. Ein Beitrag zur aktuellen Wahlrechtsdiskusison.
Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 31, issue 2, pp. 493-494.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(1999):
Taktisch oder Aufrichtig? Zur Untersuchung des Stimmensplittings bei Bundestagswahlen. Eine Replik auf Harald Schoens Beitrag in Heft 2/1998 der Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen.
Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 30, issue 1, pp. 163-166.
more
Book Chapters
Müller, Wolfgang C., Paul W. Thurner and Christian Schulze
(2017):
Conclusion: Explaining Nuclear Policy Reversals.
Pp. 286-324 in:
Wolfgang C. Müller, Paul W. Thurner
(Eds.)
The Politics of Nuclear Energy in Western Europe.
Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
more
Müller, Wolfgang C., and Paul W. Thurner
(2017):
Nuclear Energy in Western Europe: Revival or Rejection? An Introduction.
Pp. 1-20 in:
Wolfgang C. Müller, Paul W. Thurner
(Eds.)
The Politics of Nuclear Energy in Western Europe.
Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
more
Müller, Wolfgang C., and Paul W. Thurner
(2017):
Understanding Policy Reversals and Policy Stability.
Pp. 21-46 in:
Wolfgang C. Müller, Paul W. Thurner
(Eds.)
The Politics of Nuclear Energy in Western Europe.
Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
more
Thurner, Paul W., Wolfgang C. Müller and Christian Schulze
(2017):
Appendix: Other European Countries—An Analytical Reconstruction.
Pp. 324-360 in:
Wolfgang C. Müller, Paul W. Thurner
(Eds.)
The Politics of Nuclear Energy in Western Europe.
Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Wolfgang C. Müller
(2017):
Comparative Policy Indicators on Nuclear Energy.
Pp. 47-64 in:
Wolfgang C. Müller, Paul W. Thurner
(Eds.)
The Politics of Nuclear Energy in Western Europe.
Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
more
Thurner, Paul W., Sylvain Brouard, Martin Dolezal, Isabelle Guinaudeau, Swen Hutter and Wolfgang C. Müller
(2017):
The Conflict over Nuclear Energy: Public Opinion, Protest Movements, and Green Parties in Comparative Perspective.
Pp. 65-97 in:
Wolfgang C. Müller, Paul W. Thurner
(Eds.)
The Politics of Nuclear Energy in Western Europe.
Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2010):
Political Network Analysis.
Pp. 1257-1259 in:
Geoffrey Garrett, Margaret Levi, Paula D. McClain, James E. Alt, Simone Chambers
(Eds.)
Encyclopedia of Political Science.
Washington:
CQ Press.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2009):
Enhancing Horizontal and Vertical Self-Organization: Harnessing Informal Networks to Integrate Policies Within and Between Governments in the European Union.
Pp. 261-284 in:
Rick Feiock, John T. Scholz
(Eds.)
Self-organizing Federalism: Collaborative Mechanisms to Mitigate Institutional Collective Action.
Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2009):
Internationale Verhandlungen und Interministerielle Koordination.
Pp. 259-270 in:
Datenwelten. Datenerhebung und Datenbestände in der Politikwissenschaft.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2008):
Nichtförmliche Verwaltungskooperation der Ministerialbürokratien der EU-Mitgliedstaaten und netzwerkbasierte Zusammenstellung von nationalen und übernationalen Prozessteams.
Pp. 401-429 in:
Gunnar Folke Schuppert, Michael Zürn
(Eds.)
Governance in einer sich wandelnden Welt (PVS-Sonderheft 1/2008).
Wiesbaden:
VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2008):
Verfahren der kollektiven Entscheidungsfindung.
Pp. 275-280 in:
Stefan Gosepath, Wilfried Hinsch, Beate Rössler
(Eds.)
Handbuch der politischen Philosophie und Sozialphilosophie.
Berlin, New York:
Walter de Gruyter.
more
Herrmann, Michael, Susumu Shikano, Paul W. Thurner and Axel Becker
(2006):
Die Analyse von Wählerpräferenzen mit Rank Ordered Logit.
Pp. 113-134 in:
Thomas Bräuninger, Joachim Behnke
(Eds.)
Jahrbuch Handlungs- und Entscheidungstheorie, Band 4.
Wiesbaden:
VS Verlag.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2006):
Modelle diskreter Entscheidungen.
Pp. 193-204 in:
Joachim Behnke, Thomas Gschwend, Delia Schindler, Kai-Uwe Schnapp
(Eds.)
Methoden der Politikwissenschaft. Neuere qualitative und quantitative Analyseverfahren.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos.
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Franz Urban Pappi
(2005):
Quantitative Negotiation Analyses: Insights from the Social Scientists’ Craft.
Pp. 97-121 in:
Eibe Riedel, Dirk Hanschel
(Eds.)
Institutionalization of International Negotiation Systems. Theoretical Concepts and Practical Insights.
Mannheim:
Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung.
more
Linhart, Eric, and Paul W. Thurner
(2004):
Die Erklärungskraft spiel- und tauschtheoretischer Verhandlungsmodelle. Ein empirischer Vergleich am Beispiel des Endgames der Regierungskonferenz 1996.
Pp. 261-289 in:
Eibe Riedel, Roland Vaubel
(Eds.)
Die Institutionalisierung Internationaler Verhandlungssysteme.
Frankfurt/New York:
Campus-Verl..
more
Pappi, Franz Urban, Eibe Riedel, Paul W. Thurner and Roland Vaubel
(2004):
Die Institutionalisierung internationaler Verhandlungssysteme als Fragestellung einer interdisziplinären Forschergruppe.
Pp. 11-30 in:
Eibe Riedel, Roland Vaubel
(Eds.)
Die Institutionalisierung Internationaler Verhandlungen.
Frankfurt/New:
Campus.
more
Stoiber, Michael, and Paul W. Thurner
(2004):
Die Ratifikation intergouvernementaler Verträge. Konstitutionelle Erfordernisse und akteurspezifische Agendakontrolle.
Pp. 173-203 in:
Eibe Riedel, Roland Vaubel
(Eds.)
Die Institutionalisierung Internationaler Verhandlungen.
Frankfurt/Main:
Campus Verlag.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2004):
Determinanten transgouvernementaler Koordinationsbeziehungen der Ministerien der EU-Mitgliedstaaten: Eine Überprüfung der Keohane/Nye-Conjecture.
Pp. 165-180 in:
Christian H.C.A. Henning, Christian Melbeck
(Eds.)
Interdisziplinäre Sozialforschung. Theorie und empirische Anwendungen. Festschrift für Franz Urban Pappi.
Frankfurt/New York:
Campus.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2000):
Agrarstruktur und der Aufstieg der NSDAP in Bayern. Die Rolle der Betriebsgrössenstruktur.
Pp. 83-110 in:
Stefan Immerfall
(Ed.)
Parteien, Kulturen und Konflikte. Beiträge zur multikulturellen Gegenwartsgesellschaft. (Festschrift für Alf Mintzel).
Opladen:
Westdeutscher Verlag.
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Franz Urban Pappi
(1998):
Retrospektives und prospektives Wählen in Mehrparteiensystemen mit Koalitionsregierungen. Die Bundestagswahl 1994.
Pp. 113-144 in:
Max Kaase, Hans-Dieter Klingemann
(Eds.)
Wahlen und Wähler. Analysen aus Anlaß der Bundestagswahl 1994.
Opladen:
Westdeutscher Verlag.
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(1997):
Nationale öffentliche Meinungen und internationale Verhandlungssysteme. Die Regierungskonferenz 1996.
Pp. 187-201 in:
Rudolf Hrbek
(Ed.)
Die Reform der Europäischen Union. Positionen und Perspektiven anläßlich der Regierungskonferenz.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft.
more
MZES Working Papers
Saam, Nicole, Paul W. Thurner and Frank Arndt
(2004):
Dynamics of International Negotiations : a Simulation of EU Intergovernmental Conferences.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 78]
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Eric Linhart
(2004):
EU intergovernmental conferences and domestic politics: an empirical application of the Putnam conjectures.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 77]
more
Thurner, Paul W., Clemens Kroneberg and Michael Stoiber
(2003):
Strategisches Signalisieren bei internationalen Verhandlungen. Eine empirisch-quantitative Analyse am Beispiel der Regierungskonferenz 1996.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 70]
more
Thurner, Paul W., Franz Urban Pappi and Michael Stoiber
(2002):
EU Intergovernmental Conferences. A Quantitative Analytical Reconstruction and Data-Handbook of Domestic Preference Formation, Transnational Networks, and Dynamics of Compromise during the Amsterdam Treaty Negotiations.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 60]
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Michael Stoiber
(2001):
Interministerielle Netzwerke : Formale und informelle Koordinationsstrukturen bei der Vorbereitung der deutschen Verhandlungspositionen zur Regierungskonferenz 1996.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 37]
more
Stoiber, Michael, and Paul W. Thurner
(2000):
Der Vergleich von Ratifikationsstrukturen der EU-Mitgliedsländer für Intergouvernementale Verträge : Eine Anwendung des Veto-Spieler Konzeptes.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 27]
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Franz Urban Pappi
(1999):
Causes and Effects of Coalition Preferences in a Mixed-Member Proportional System.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 1]
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Franz Urban Pappi
(1998):
Measuring and Explaining Strategic Voting in the German Electoral System.
Mannheim
[Arbeitsbereich II; 21]
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Angelika Eymann
(1997):
Policy-Specific Alienation and Indifference in the Calculus of Voting: A Simultaneous Model of Party Choice and Abstention.
Mannheim
[Arbeitsbereich II; 18]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(1996):
Estimating the Parameters of a Spatial Voting Model with Multiattributive Random Utility Models. An Empirical Analysis of the 1990 Bundestag Election.
Mannheim
[Arbeitsbereich II; 13]
more
Thesis
Thurner, Paul W.
(2004):
Die graduelle Konstitutionalisierung der Europäischen Union. Eine quantitative Fallstudie am Beispiel der Regierungskonferenz 1996.
Mannheim:
Universität Mannheim.
more
Papers / Reports
Thurner, Paul W., and Martin Binder
(2007):
Effectiveness of Ministries’ Claims in EU Intergovernmental Negotiations: A Multi-Level Approach.
Chicago
more
Shikano, Susumu, Michael Herrmann and Paul W. Thurner
(2006):
Explaining German Strategic List Voting with a Two-Step Random Utility Approach.
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Martin Binder
(2006):
EU Transgovernmental Networks: The Emergence of a New Political Space beyond the Nation State?.
more
Saam, Nicole, Paul W. Thurner and Frank Arndt
(2004):
Dynamics of International Negotiations. A Simulation of EU Intergovernmental Conferences.
[Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Logic and Methodology. August 17-20, 2004, Amsterdam, The Netherlands]
more
Boockmann, Bernhard, and Paul W. Thurner
(2002):
Flexibility Provisions in Multilateral Environmental Treaties.
Mannheim
[ZEW Discussion Paper]
more
Linhart, Eric, and Paul W. Thurner
(2002):
Die Erklärungskraft spiel- und tauschtheoretischer Verhandlungsmodelle bei gegebenem Institutionalisierungsgrad. Ein empirischer Vergleich am Beispiel des Endgames der Regierungskonferenz 1996.
Mannheim
more
Thurner, Paul W., and Peter Kotzian
(2001):
Comparative Health Care Systems. Outline for an empirical application of New Institutional Economics approaches.
Grenoble
more
Thurner, Paul W., Angelika Eymann and Franz Urban Pappi
(2000):
Voter Reactions Towards EMU: Did Foreign Trade Sensitivity Matter?.
Washington
more
Conference Presentations
Debus, Marc, and Paul W. Thurner
(2011):
Issue Voting in German Elections over Time.
[European Political Science Association Annual Conference, Dublin, June 16th to June 18th, 2011]
more
Binder, Martin, and Paul W. Thurner
(2007):
National Position Taking in International Negotiations.
[65th Annual National Conference Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 12th to April 15th, 2007]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2007):
APSA Short Course 'Applied Political Network Analysis', full day session.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association 2007, Chicago, August 29th, 2007]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2007):
Effectiveness of Ministries’ Claims in EU Intergovernmental Negotiations: A Multi-Level Approach.
[Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April 11th to April 14th, 2007]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2007):
Intergouvernemental Cooperation und Informal Administrative Action.
[Coordination of Fragmented Authority: The Challenge of Institutional Collective Action in Metropolitan Areas, Florida State University, February 16th to February 17th, 2007]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2007):
Intergouvernementale Kooperation und Nichtförmliches Verwaltungshandeln der Ministerialbürokratien der EU.
[Autoren-Workshop zum PVS-Sonderheft 'Governance', Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin (WZB), February 08th to February 09th, 2007]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2007):
Multiplex Interorganizational Networks of State Officials: A Random Effects p2-Model.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association 2007, Chicago, August 29th to September 02nd, 2007]
more
Herrmann, Michael, Susumu Shikano and Paul W. Thurner
(2006):
Explaining German Strategic List Voting with a Two-Step Random Utility Approach.
[Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April 20th to April 23rd, 2006]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2006):
Explaining Transgovernmental Network Choices with Exponential Random Graph Models.
[Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April 20th to April 23rd, 2006]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2006):
Intergovernmental Conferences as Distributed Decision-Making in Multi-Agent Systems.
[Computational Political Economics, Centre for Interdisciplinary Research, Bielefeld, May 05th to May 06th, 2006]
more
Herrmann, Michael, Susumu Shikano, Paul W. Thurner and Axel Becker
(2005):
Applying a Generalized Form of Discrete Choice Models to Electoral Studies: Explaining Party Rankings with Exploded Logit.
[Jahrestagung des Arbeitskreises Handlungs- und Entscheidungstheorie, Mannheim, June 24th to June 25th, 2005]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2005):
Explaining Transgovernmental Network Choices with Exponential Random Graph Models.
[Research Group ‘Decision Theory’, German Political Science Association, Mannheim, June 23rd to June 24th, 2005]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2005):
Promoting Good Governance and Development in Conflict-Affected Countries: The Role of Parliament and Government.
[Wilton Park Conference, Steyning, West Sussex, June 06th to June 10th, 2005]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2005):
Strategic Political Communication: A Public Choice Perspective.
[International Summer Academy on Political Consulting and Strategic Campaign Communication, Mannheim, July 11th, 2005]
more
Thurner, Paul W.
(2005):
Strategic Signalling before and during International Negotiations.
[Max-Planck-Institute for Economics, Strategic Interaction Group, Jena, July 21st, 2005]
more