Detail

Golder, Sona N. , Ignacio Lago , André Blais , Elisabeth Gidengil , Thomas Gschwend (2017): Multi-Level Electoral Politics. Beyond the Second-Order Election Model. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2004): Strategic Voting in Mixed-Electoral Systems. More

Edited Book

(2007): Research Design in Political Science: How to Practice What They Preach. More

(2007): Forschungsdesign in der Politikwissenschaft : Probleme - Strategien - Anwendungen. More

(2006): Methoden der Politikwissenschaft. Neuere qualitative und quantitative Analyseverfahren. More

Book Chapter

Engst, Benjamin G. , Thomas Gschwend (2024): Observational Databases. More

Nyhuis, Dominic , Tobias Ringwald , Oliver Rittmann , Thomas Gschwend , Rainer Stiefelhagen , Lars E. Lyberg (2022): Automated video analysis for social science research. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2017): Strategic Voting. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas Zittel (2012): Machen Wahlkreiskandidaten einen Unterschied? Die Persönlichkeitswahl als interaktiver Prozess. More

Bytzek, Evelyn , Thomas Gschwend , Sascha Huber , Eric Linhart , Michael F. Meffert (2012): Koalitionssignale und ihre Wirkungen auf Wahlentscheidungen. More

Meffert, Michael F. , Thomas Gschwend (2011): Experimental Triangulation of Coalition Signals: Varying Designs, Converging Results. More

Hooghe, Marc , Sofie Marien , Thomas Gschwend (2011): Gathering Counter-Factual Evidence: An Experimental Study on Voters’ Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas Zittel , Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck (2011): Machen Wahlkreiskandidaten einen Unterschied? Die Persönlichkeitswahl als interaktiver Prozess. More

Blais, André , Thomas Gschwend (2010): Strategic Defection across Elections, Parties, and Voters. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2009): District Magnitude and the Comparative Study of Strategic Voting. More

Meffert, Michael F. , Thomas Gschwend (2009): Strategisches Wählen in Mehrparteiensystemen: ein Gruppenexperiment. More

Huber, Sascha , Thomas Gschwend , Michael F. Meffert , Franz Urban Pappi (2009): Erwartungsbildung über den Wahlausgang und ihr Einfluss auf die Wahlentscheidung. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2008): Abgeordnetenhauswahlen sind keine Bundestagswahlen. Oder doch? Erfahrungsbericht aus Berlin. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2008): Studying Contamination Effects in Multi-Level Systems of Governance: First Thoughts about Hypotheses and Research Design. More

De Bièvre, Dirk (2007): Falsification in Theory-Guided Empirical Social Research: How to Change a Tire while Riding Your Bicycle. More

Lehnert, Matthias , Bernhard Miller , Arndt Wonka (2007): Na und? Überlegungen zur theoretischen und gesellschaftlichen Relevanz in der Politikwissenschaft. More

Wonka, Arndt (2007): Um was geht es? Konzeptspezifikation in der politikwissenschaftlichen Forschung. More

Lehnert, Matthias , Bernhard Miller , Arndt Wonka (2007): Increasing the Relevance of Research Questions: Considerations on Theoretical and Social Relevance in Political Science. More

Wonka, Arndt (2007): Concept Specification in Political Science Research. More

Miller, Bernhard (2007): Maßvoll Messen: Zur konzeptorientierten Entwicklung von Messinstrumenten. More

Miller, Bernhard (2007): Making Measures Capture Concepts: Tools for Securing Correspondence between Theoretical Ideas and Observations. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Frank Schimmelfennig (2007): Forschungsdesign in der Politikwissenschaft: Ein Dialog zwischen Theorie und Daten. More

Rathke, Julia (2007): Achieving Comparability of Secondary Data. More

Rathke, Julia (2007): Identisch und doch verschieden, verschieden und doch vergleichbar? Zur Äquivalenz von Sekundärdaten. More

De Bièvre, Dirk (2007): Über Falsifikation in theoriegeleiteter empirischer Sozialforschung: Wie man während der Fahrt den Reifen wechselt. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Frank Schimmelfennig (2007): Lehren für den Dialog zwischen Theorie und Daten. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Frank Schimmelfennig (2007): Conclusion: Lessons for the Dialogue between Theory and Data. More

Dür, Andreas (2007): Discriminating among Rival Explanations: Some Tools for Small-n Researchers. More

Dür, Andreas (2007): Einige Anregungen zur Auswahl zwischen konkurrierenden Erklärungsansätzen in Y-zentrierter Forschung. More

Sieberer, Ulrich (2007): Selecting independent variables. Competing recommendations for factor-centric and outcome-centric research designs. More

Sieberer, Ulrich (2007): "Aber könnte es nicht auch sein, dass...?" Die Auswahl unabhängiger Variablen in X-zentrierten und Y-zentrierten Forschungsdesigns. More

Thiem, Janina (2007): Dealing Effectively with Selection Bias in Large-n Research. More

Thiem, Janina (2007): Zum Umgang mit Selektionsverzerrungen in Forschungsdesigns mit großer Fallzahl. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Frank Schimmelfennig (2007): Introduction: Designing Research in Political Science - A Dialogue between Theory and Data. More

Thurner, Paul W. (2006): Modelle diskreter Entscheidungen. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2006): Ökologische Inferenz. More

Schnapp, Kai-Uwe , Delia Schindler , Thomas Gschwend , Joachim Behnke (2006): Qualitative und Quantitative Zugänge: Eine integrative Perspektive. More

Gangl, Markus (2006): Propensity Score Matching. More

Pappi, Franz Urban , Thomas Gschwend (2005): Partei- und Koalitionspräferenzen der Wähler bei den Bundestagswahlen 1998 und 2002. More

Norpoth, Helmut , Thomas Gschwend (2005): Mit Rot-Grün ins Schwarze getroffen: Prognosemodell besteht Feuertaufe. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Franz Urban Pappi (2004): Stimmensplitting und Koalitionswahl [Ticket-Splitting and Coalition Voting]. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Dirk Leuffen (2004): Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place: Electoral Dilemmas and Turnout in the 2002 French Legislative Elections. More

Norpoth, Helmut , Thomas Gschwend (2003): Politbarometer und Wahlprognosen: Die Kanzlerfrage.. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2003): Statistical Control. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Helmut Norpoth (2001): 'Wenn am nächsten Sonntag ...': Ein Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Helmut Norpoth (2000): Soll und Haben: Die deutsche Wählerschaft rechnet mit den Parteien ab. More

Journal Article

Lehrer, Roni , Oke Bahnsen , Klara Müller , Thomas Gschwend , Sebastian Juhl (9998): Rallying around the leader in times of crises: The opposing effects of perceived threat and anxiety. European Journal of Political Research, pp. (publ. online before print). More

Engst, Benjamin G. , David M. Grundmanns , Thomas Gschwend (9998): How to place non-majoritarian institutions and political actors in a common policy space: Spatial modeling of court–executive interactions. The Journal of Politics, pp. (publ. online before print). More

Rittmann, Oliver , Marcel Neunhoeffer , Thomas Gschwend (2025): How to improve the substantive interpretation of regression results when the dependent variable is logged. Political Science Research and Methods, 13, 1, pp. 203-211. More

Behrens, Lion , Dominic Nyhuis , Thomas Gschwend (2024): Political ambition and opposition legislative review: Bill scrutiny as an intra-party signalling device. European Journal of Political Research, 63, 1, pp. 66-88. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Oliver Rittmann , Lisa-Marie Werner (2023): Zwischen Wahlkreisreduzierung und Bürgernähe: Zur aktuellen Reformdiskussion des Wahlrechts in Baden-Württemberg. Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen (ZParl), 54, 3, pp. 611-624. More

Arnold, Christian , Benjamin G. Engst , Thomas Gschwend (2023): Scaling Court Decisions with Citation Networks. Journal of Law and Courts, 11, 1, pp. 25-44. More

Rittmann, Oliver , Marie-Lou Sohnius , Thomas Gschwend (2023): Candidate awareness in mixed-member electoral systems: A data-driven approach. Electoral Studies, 86, pp. (article no. 102700), pp. 1-13. More

Sohnius, Marie-Lou , Thomas Gschwend , Oliver Rittmann (2022): Welche Auswirkungen haben größere Wahlkreise auf das Politische Verhalten? Ein empirischer Beitrag zur Wahlrechtsreform. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 63, 4, pp. 685-701. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Klara Müller , Simon Munzert , Marcel Neunhoeffer , Lukas Stoetzer (2022): The Zweitstimme Model: A Dynamic Forecast of the 2021 German Federal Election. PS: Political Science and Politics, 55, 1, pp. 85-90. More

Behrens, Lion , Dominic Nyhuis , Thomas Gschwend (2022): Constructive and destructive legislative review: The government-opposition divide in parliamentary oversight. The Journal of Politics, 85, 1, pp. 223-239. More

Bol, Damien , Thomas Gschwend , Thomas Zittel , Steffen Zittlau (2021): The Importance of Personal Vote Intentions for the Responsiveness of Legislators: A Field Experiment. European Journal of Political Research, 60, 2, pp. 455-473. More

Dentler, Klara , Thomas Gschwend , David Hünlich (2021): A swing vote from the ethnic backstage: The role of German American isolationist tradition for Trump’s 2016 victory. Electoral Studies, 71, pp. (article no. 102309). More

Neunhoeffer, Marcel , Thomas Gschwend , Simon Munzert , Lukas Stoetzer (2020): Ein Ansatz zur Vorhersage der Erststimmenanteile bei Bundestagswahlen. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 61, 1, pp. 111-113. More

Rheault, Ludovic , André Blais , John H. Aldrich , Thomas Gschwend (2020): Understanding people's choice when they have two votes. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 30, 4, pp. 466-483. More

Bowler, Shaun , Thomas Gschwend , Indridi H. Indridason (2020): Coalition Policy Perceptions. The Journal of Politics, 82, 4, pp. 1458-1473. More

Crabtree, Charles , Matt Golder , Thomas Gschwend , Indridi H. Indridason (2020): It Is Not Only What You Say, It Is Also How You Say It: The Strategic Use of Campaign Sentiment. The Journal of Politics, 82, 3, pp. 1044-1060. More

Bahnsen, Oke , Thomas Gschwend , Lukas F. Stötzer (2020): How do coalition signals shape voting behavior? Revealing the mediating role of coalition expectations. Electoral Studies, 66, August 2020, pp. (article no. 102166). More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Thomas Gschwend , Sebastian Sternberg (2020): Die Besetzung des Bundesverfassungsgerichts. Ein Spiegelbild gesellschaftlicher Präferenzen. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 61, 1, pp. 39-60. More

Stötzer, Lukas F. , Marcel Neunhoeffer , Thomas Gschwend , Simon Munzert , Sebastian Sternberg (2019): Forecasting Elections in Multiparty Systems: A Bayesian Approach Combining Polls and Fundamentals. Political Analysis, 27, 2, pp. 255-262. More

Lehrer, Roni , Sebastian Juhl , Thomas Gschwend (2019): The Wisdom of Crowds Design for Sensitive Survey Questions. Electoral Studies, 57, pp. 99-109. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas Zittel (2018): Who brings home the pork? Parties and the role of localness in committee assignments in mixed-member proportional systems. Party Politics, 24, 5, pp. 488-500. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Sebastian Juhl , Roni Lehrer (2018): Die "Sonntagsfrage", soziale Erwünschtheit und die AfD: Wie alternative Messmethoden der Politikwissenschaft weiterhelfen können. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 59, 3, pp. 493-519. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert , Lukas F. Stötzer (2017): Weighting Parties and Coalitions: How Coalition Signals Influence Voting Behavior. The Journal of Politics, 79, 2, pp. 642-655. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Helmut Norpoth (2017): Machtwechsel in Sicht? Die Vorhersage des Kanzlermodells für die Bundestagswahl 2017. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 58, 3, pp. 392-406. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Thomas Gschwend , Nils Schaks , Sebastian Sternberg , Caroline Wittig (2017): Zum Einfluss der Parteinähe auf das Abstimmungsverhalten der Bundesverfassungsrichter - eine quantitative Untersuchung. JuristenZeitung, 72, 17, pp. 816-826. More

Norpoth, Helmut , Thomas Gschwend (2017): Chancellor Model Predicts a Change of the Guards. PS: Political Science & Politics, 50, 3, pp. 686-688. More

Munzert, Simon , Lukas F. Stötzer , Thomas Gschwend , Marcel Neunhoeffer , Sebastian Sternberg (2017): Zweitstimme.org. Ein strukturell-dynamisches Vorhersagemodell für Bundestagswahlen. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 58, 3, pp. 418-441. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Lukas F. Stötzer , Steffen Zittlau (2016): What drives rental votes? How coalitions signals facilitate strategic coalition voting. Electoral Studies , 44, December, pp. 293-306. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas Zittel (2015): Do constituency candidates matter in German Federal Elections? The personal vote as an interactive process. Electoral Studies, 39, September, pp. 338-349. More

Stötzer, Lukas F. , Steffen Zittlau , Thomas Gschwend , Tobias Witt (2015): Leihstimmen im Bundestagswahljahr 2013. Journal of Political Psychology, 4, 1, pp. 88-107. More

Sternberg, Sebastian , Thomas Gschwend , Caroline Wittig , Benjamin G. Engst (2015): Zum Einfluss der öffentlichen Meinung auf Entscheidungen des Bundesverfassungsgerichts: Eine Analyse von abstrakten Normenkontrollen sowie Bund-Länder-Streitigkeiten 1974 – 2010. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 56, 4, pp. 570-598. More

Lo, James , Sven-Oliver Proksch , Thomas Gschwend (2014): A Common Left-Right Scale for Voters and Parties in Europe. Political Analysis, 22, 2, pp. 205-223. More

Norpoth, Helmut , Thomas Gschwend (2013): Chancellor Model Picks Merkel in 2013 German Election. Political Science & Politics, 46, 3, pp. 481-482. More

Meffert, Michael F. , Thomas Gschwend (2011): Polls, coalition signals and strategic voting: An experimental investigation of perceptions and effects. European Journal of Political Research, 50, 5, pp. 636-667. More

Meffert, Michael F. , Sascha Huber , Thomas Gschwend , Franz Urban Pappi (2011): More than wishful thinking: Causes and consequences of voters electoral expectations about parties and coalitions. Electoral Studies, 30, 4, pp. 804-815. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2011): Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effect. European Journal of Political Research, 50, 5, pp. 636-667. More

Bräuninger, Thomas , Thomas Gschwend , Susumu Shikano (2010): Sachpolitik oder Parteipolitik? Eine Bestimmung des Parteidrucks im Bundesrat mittles bayesianischer Methoden. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 51, 2, pp. 223-249. More

Meffert, Michael F. , Thomas Gschwend (2010): Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria. Electoral Studies, 29, 3, pp. 339-349. More

Norpoth, Helmut , Thomas Gschwend (2010): The Chancellor Model: Forecasting German Elections. International Journal of Forecasting, 26, 1, pp. 42-53. More

Hönnige, Christoph , Thomas Gschwend (2010): Das Bundesverfassungsgericht im politischen System der BRD – ein unbekanntes Wesen?. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 51, 3, pp. 507-530. More

Zittel, Thomas , Thomas Gschwend (2008): Individualised Constituency Campaigns in Mixed-Member Electoral Systems: Candidates in the 2005 German Elections. West European Politics, 31, 5, pp. 879-1003. More

Elff, Martin , Thomas Gschwend , Johnston Ron (2008): Ignoramus, Ignorabimus? On Uncertainty in Ecological Inference. Political Analysis, 16, 1, pp. 70-92. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Marc Hooghe (2008): Should I Stay or Should I Go? An Experimental Study on Voter Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions. European Journal of Political Research, 47, 5, pp. 556-577. More

Lavine, Howard , Thomas Gschwend (2007): Issues, Parties and Character: The Moderating Role of Ideological Thinking on Candidate Evaluation. British Journal of Political Science, 37, 1, pp. 139-163. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Ticket-splitting and strategic voting under mixed electoral rules: Evidence from Germany. European Journal of Political Research, 46, 1, pp. 1-23. More

Zittel, Thomas , Thomas Gschwend (2007): Individualisierte Wahlkämpfe im Wahlkreis. Eine Analyse am Beispiel des Bundestagswahlkampfes von 2005. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 48, 2, pp. 293-321. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Berliner Abgeordnetenhauswahlen 1979 bis 2001: keine Testwahlen für die Bundesebene. Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen , 38, 3, pp. 531-540. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting and Party System Change in Portugal. Portuguese Journal of Social Science, 6, 1, pp. 15-31. More

Wüst, Andreas M. , Hermann Schmitt , Thomas Gschwend , Thomas Zittel (2006): Candidates in the 2005 Bundestag Election: Mode of Candidacy, Campaigning and Issues. German Politics, 15, 4, pp. 420-438. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Henk van der Kolk (2006): Split Ticket Voting in Mixed Member Proportional Systems: The Hypothetical Case of The Netherlands. Acta Politica, 41, 2, pp. 163-179. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Dirk Leuffen (2005): Divided We Stand - Unified We Govern? Cohabitation and Regime Voting in the 2002 French Elections. British Journal of Political Science, 35, pp. 691-712. More

Broscheid, Andreas , Thomas Gschwend (2005): Zur statistischen Analyse von Vollerhebungen. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 46, 1, pp. O-16 – O-26. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2005): Analyzing Quota Sample Data and the Peer-Review Process. French Politics, 3, 1, pp. 88-91. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Helmut Norpoth (2005): Prognosemodell auf dem Prüfstand: Die Bundestagswahl 2005. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 46, 4, pp. 682-688. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Ron Johnston , Charles Pattie (2003): Split-Ticket Patterns in Mixed-Member Proportional Election Systems: Estimates and Analyses of their Spatial Variation at the German Federal Election, 1998. British Journal of Political Science, 33, pp. 109-127. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2003): Iterative EI-Schätzungen und das interne Konsistenzproblem. Wirtschaft und Statistik, 3, pp. 262-267. More

Norpoth, Helmut , Thomas Gschwend (2003): Against all Odds?: The Red-Green Victory. German Politics and Society, 21, pp. 15-34. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Helmut Norpoth (2003): Knapp aber vorhersehbar: Schröders Wahlsieg. FORUM - Forschung Universität Mannheim, pp. 10-13. More

Presentation

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael Meffert (2024): Party preferences precede coalition preferences: A response time analysis. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Thomas Gschwend (2024): Citizens' commitment to judicial independence: A discrete choice experiment in nine European countries. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , David M. Grundmanns , Thomas Gschwend (2023): The power of words: Strategic judicial opinion-writing to influence politics and society. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Indridi Indridason , Lukas Stoetzer (2023): Pre-electoral coalition strategies in multiparty systems. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Thomas Gschwend , Christoph Hönnige , Sylvain Brouard (2022): Who should be selected to the highest courts? Evidence from Survey Experiments in France, Germany and the United States. More

Engst, Benjamin , Thomas Gschwend , Christoph Hönnige , Sylvain Brouard (2022): Who should be selected to the highest courts? Evidence from survey experiments in France, Germany and the United States. More

Sohnius, Marie-Lou , Thomas Gschwend , Oliver Rittmann (2022): Unintended Consequences of Increasing Electoral Districts? Evidence From Germany. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Marcel Neunhoeffer , Oliver Rittmann (2021): Simulating Quantities of Interest when the Dependent Variable is Logged. More

Adendorf, Anna , Ines Rehbein , Oke Bahnsen , Thomas Gschwend , Simone Paolo Ponzetto , Lukas F. Stötzer (2021): Who wants to go with whom? Identifying coalition signals in newspaper articles using transfer learning. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , David Grundmans , Thomas Gschwend (2021): Give them the word, they sharpen the sword - How high courts use language to exert political and societal power. More

Behrens, Lion , Dominic Nyhuis , Thomas Gschwend (2021): Coalition Policymaking and Opposition Legislative Review: Collaboration, Bill Obstruction, and Issue-Ownership. More

Engst, Benjamin , David M. Grundmanns , Thomas Gschwend (2021): Give them the word, they sharpen the sword - How high courts use language to exert political and societal power. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Thomas Gschwend (2020): Attitudes on Judicial Independence: A Discrete Choice Experiment in Four EU Member States. More

Nyhuis, Dominic , Lion Behrens , Thomas Gschwend , Tobias Ringwald , M. Saquib Sarfraz , Rainer Stiefelhagen (2019): Beyond text as data: Automated video analysis for research on legislative politics. More

Nyhuis, Dominic , Lion Behrens , Thomas Gschwend , Tobias Ringwald , M. Saquib Sarfraz , Rainer Stiefelhagen (2019): Beyond text as data: Computer vision in political research. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Thomas Gschwend , Christoph Hönnige , Caroline Wittig (2019): The Constitutional Court Database. Conceptualizing a relational database. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , David M. Grundmanns , Thomas Gschwend (2019): Judicial Positions on Political Reform. Designing common policy scores from judicial text. More

Behrens, Lion , Dominic Nyhuis , Thomas Gschwend (2019): Opposition strategies in legislative review: Tracing the strategic use of legislative amendments using syntax-aware automated text analysis. More

Arnold, Christian , Benjamin G. Engst , Thomas Gschwend (2019): Scaling Lower Court Decisions. More

Nyhuis, Dominic , Lion Behrens , Thomas Gschwend , Tobias Ringwald , M. Saquib Sarfraz , Rainer Stiefelhagen (2019): Individual salience attributions in the US House of Representatives: Evidence from an automated analysis of parliamentary video recordings. More

Stötzer, Lukas F. , Indridi I. Indridason , Thomas Gschwend (2018): Pre-Electoral Coalition Strategies in Multiparty Systems. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Indridi H. Indridason , Lukas F. Stötzer (2018): Pre-Electoral Coalition Strategies in Multiparty Systems. More

Stötzer, Lukas F. , Simon Munzert , Thomas Gschwend , Marcel Neunhoeffer , Sebastian Sternberg (2017): Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Thomas Gschwend , Sebastian Sternberg (2017): Public Support for Judicial Nominations: Evidence from a Discrete-Choice Experiment. More

Stötzer, Lukas F. , Simon Munzert , Thomas Gschwend , Marcel Neunhoeffer , Sebastian Sternberg (2017): Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach. More

Zittel, Thomas , Thomas Gschwend (2016): Who brings home the pork? Committee Assignments under Germany's Mixed System. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2016): Strategic and Sincere Voting in Multi-level Systems. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Sebastian Sternberg , Steffen Zittlau (2016): Are Judges Political Animals After All? Quasi-experimental Evidence from the German Federal Constitutional Court. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2016): Strategic and Sincere Voting in Multi-level Systems. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Sebastian Sternberg , Steffen Zittlau (2016): Are Judges Political Animals after All? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the German Federal Constitutional Court. More

Crabtree, Charles , Matt Golder , Thomas Gschwend , Indridi H. Indridason (2016): Campaign Sentiment in European Manifestos. More

Indridason, Indridi H. , Thomas Gschwend (2015): Estimating Policy Perceptions of Party Influence on Coalition Policy Perceptions. More

Bol, Damien , Thomas Gschwend , Thomas Zittel , Steffen Zittlau (2015): The Electoral Source of Good Government: A Field Experiment on German MPs. More

Hönnige, Christoph , Benjamin G. Engst , Caroline Wittig , Thomas Gschwend (2015): Demand for Change: Institutional Features Empowering Judges as Policy Makers. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas Zittel (2015): Who brings home the pork? The role of electoral context and localness in assigning committee seats in the German Bundestag. More

Hönnige, Christoph , Thomas Gschwend , Benjamin G. Engst , Caroline Wittig (2015): Constitutional Courts as Veto Players: Composition, Absorption and Decisions at the German Court. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas Zittel (2015): Who brings home the pork? The role of electoral context and localness in assigning committee seats in the German Bundestag. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Lukas F. Stötzer , Steffen Zittlau (2015): Valence Campaigning in the 2008 US Congressional Elections. More

Bowler, Shaun , Thomas Gschwend , Indridi H. Indridason (2014): Coalition Policy Perceptions. More

Golder, Matt , Thomas Gschwend , Indridi H. Indridason (2014): Negative Campaigning in Multicandidate Primary Elections . More

Hönnige, Christoph , Thomas Gschwend , Benjamin G. Engst , Caroline Wittig (2014): The German Constitutional Court as Veto Player - Composition, Decisions and the Absorption Hypothesis. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Lukas F. Stötzer , Steffen Zittlau (2014): Why don't you talk about policy? Valence campaigning in the 2008 US Congressional elections. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Caroline Wittig , Christoph Hönnige , Thomas Gschwend (2014): Validating own Interests through Invalidating: Judges Shaping Policy. More

Hönnige, Christoph , Thomas Gschwend , Caroline Wittig , Benjamin G. Engst (2014): The German Constitutional Court - Conceptualizing an Innovative Database. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Caroline Wittig , Christoph Hönnige , Thomas Gschwend (2013): Courts as Veto Players: A Game Theoretic Model. More

Bol, Damien , Thomas Zittel , Thomas Gschwend (2013): The impact of the Electoral Context on Personal Vote Strategies: A Field Experiment on German Legislators. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael Meffert , Lukas F. Stötzer (2013): How Coalition Signals Influence Voting Behavior. More

Golder, Matt , Thomas Gschwend , Indridi H. Indridason (2013): Negative Campaigning. More

Blais, André , Ludovic Rheault , John H. Aldrich , Thomas Gschwend (2013): Understanding People's Choice When They Have Two Votes. More

Engst, Benjamin G. , Caroline Wittig , Christoph Hönnige , Thomas Gschwend (2013): Courts as Veto Players: A Game Theoretic Model. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Markus Wagner , Eva Zeglovits , Sylvia Kritzinger (2012): Sequencing Effekte: Links-Rechts-Positionierung und weitere Survey Experimente. More

Wagner, Markus , Eva Zeglovits , Sylvia Kritzinger , Thomas Gschwend (2012): Sequencing Effekte: Links-Rechts-Positionierung und weitere Instrumententests in AUTNES. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2012): Strategic Voting: Coalitions, Preferences and Expectations. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael Stoiber (2012): Strategic Voting in Proportional Systems: The Case of Finland. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2012): Strategic Voting: Coalitions, Preferences and Expectations. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas Zittel (2011): Do Constituency Candidates Matter in German Federal Elections? The Personal Vote as an Interactive Process. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Sven-Oliver Proksch (2010): Improving the Measurement of Policy Preferences in Surveys: Bringing the Status-Quo back in. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2009): Über elektorale Folgen der Politikverflechtung in Mehrebenensystemen: Auswirkungen der bundespolitischen Großwetterlage und Landtagswahlen. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2009): Über elektorale Folgen der Politikverflechtung in Mehrebenensystemen: Auswirkungen der bundespolitschen Großwetterlage und Landtagswahlen. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2009): Siegt 2009 Schwarz-Gelb? Wahlprognosen per Zauberformel. More

Meffert, Michael F. , Thomas Gschwend (2009): Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effects.. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Matthew S. Shugart , Thomas Zittel (2009): Assigning Committee Seats in Mixed-Member Systems - How Important is “Localness” compared to the Mode of Election?. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2008): Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert , Sascha Huber , Franz Urban Pappi (2008): More than Wishful Thinking: Causes and Consequences of Voter's Expectations about Election Outcomes. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2008): Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effects. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2008): Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation and Coalition governments: A Laboratory Experiment. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2008): Strategisches Wahlverhalten in Mehrparteiensystemen: Ein Gruppenexperiment. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2008): Voting for Coalitions? The Role of Coalition Preferences. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas Zittel (2008): Presentation of Country Database Issues: Germany. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2008): Vorhersagen müssen keine Hexerei sein. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2008): Kausale Inferenz mit Koalitionssignalen. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2008): X-zentriert statt x-beliebig: Zur Bedeutung von Randomisierung für Kausalanalysen der Politik- und Verwaltungsforschung. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2008): Strategisches Wählerverhalten und Wahlsystem. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2008): Koalitionssignale und Wahlverhalten. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2008): Kausale Effekte von Koalitionssignalen? Experimentelle Evidenz. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2007): Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation & Coalition Governments: A Simulation and Laboratory Experiment . More

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Goldoni Goes Comparative: Institutional Incentives and Vote Choice. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas Zittel (2007): Individualisierte Wahlkämpfe im Wahlkreis: Eine Analyse am Beispiel des Bundestagswahlkampfes von 2005. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Contamination effects in multi-level systems of governance. More

Wüst, Andreas M. , Thomas Gschwend (2007): Die Bedeutung von Umfragen im Wahlkampf. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Vorhersagen müssen keine Hexerei sein: Ein sozialwissenschaftliches Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2007): Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation and Coalition Governments: A Case for Experimental Triangulation. More

Wüst, Andreas M. , Thomas Gschwend (2007): Survey Research and Campaigns. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Wahlprognosen sind keine Hexerei - Vorhersagemodelle zum Mimachen. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael F. Meffert (2007): Voting for Coalitions? The Role of Coalition Preferences and Expectations in Voting Behavior. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Marc Hooghe (2007): Voter Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions in Belgium. Results from an Experimental Study. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2006): "Abgeordnetenhauswahlen sind keine Bundestagswahlen. Oder doch? Erfahrungsbericht aus Berlin.". More

Gschwend, Thomas (2006): Pre-electoral Identifiability of potential Governments: Measurement and Consequences . More

Wüst, Andreas M. , Thomas Gschwend (2006): Survey Research and Campaigns. More

Zittel, Thomas , Thomas Gschwend (2006): Der Bundestagswahlkampf von 2005 und Kollektive Repräsentation: Ein kurzer Auftakt zum langen Abschied. More

Zittel, Thomas , Thomas Gschwend (2006): Personalisierte Wahlkämpfe im Wahlkreis. Eine Analyse des Bundestagswahlkampfes von 2005. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2006): Identifiability of Coalitions, District Magnitude and Strategic Voting. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Martin Elff , Ron Johnston (2006): What Can We Learn From Almost Nothing? An Extended Maximum Entropy Approach to Uncertainty in RxC Ecological Inference, with an Application to Split-Ticket Voting. More

Elff, Martin , Thomas Gschwend (2006): How Much Can Be Inferred From Almost Nothing? A Maximum Entropy Approach to Fundamental Indeterminacy in Ecological Inference With an Application to District-Level Prediction of Split-Ticket Voting. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Henk van der Kolk (2006): Forecasting the Number of Split-Ticket Voters in Parliamentary Systems. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2006): District Magnitude and the Comparative Study of Strategic Voting. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2006): Are Modern Politics still Party Politics?. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Patric Andersson , Michael F. Meffert , Carsten Schmidt (2006): Forecasting the Outcome of a National Election: The Influence of Expertise, Information, and Political Preferences. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2006): Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2005): Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2005): Electoral Studies - Editorial Board Meeting. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2005): Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting: The Case of Portugal. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2005): Strategic Voting in Belgium. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2005): Ökologische Inferenz. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Henk van der Kolk (2005): Split ticket voting in Mixed Member Proportional Systems: The case of The Netherlands. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Marc Hooghe (2005): Should I Stay or Should I Go? Voter Reactions to Pre-Electoral Coalitions. Results from an Experimental Study in Belgium. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Martin Elff (2005): EMax - Die Ergänzung der ökologischen Inferenz durch Survey-Daten. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Galen Irwin , Joop van Holsteyn (2005): Clarity of pre-election coalitions and strategic voting in PR systems: The case of the Netherlands. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2005): Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2005): Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting: The Case of Portugal. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2004): Electoral Institutions and Electoral Behavior: Results of a Natural Experiment. . More

Gschwend, Thomas (2004): Wählen und Wahlsystem: Ergebnisse eines natürlichen Experiments des deutschen Mischwahlsystems. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2004): Political institutions: The impact of constitutions and election laws on the formation of political parties and party systems in the accession countries of the European Union.. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2004): MIT ROT-GRÜN INS SCHWARZE GETROFFEN: Ein sozialwissenschaftliche Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen . More

Gschwend, Thomas , Michael Stoiber , Mareen Günther (2004): Strategic Voting in Proportional Systems: The Case of Finland. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2003): Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: An Empirical Test of the Leys-Sartori Conjecture. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2003): Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Helmut Norpoth (2002): If the election were next Sunday...: A Forecast of the 2002 Bundestag Election. More

Lavine, Howard , Thomas Gschwend (2002): Ideology and Rationality: Issue Constraint in Political Decision-Making. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Chad King (2002): The Politics of Opinion Assignment: A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2001): Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting in Mixed Electoral Systems. More

King, Chad , Thomas Gschwend (2001): Assigning the Majority Opinion: A Replication and Extension. More

Report

Gschwend, Thomas (2005): Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting under Mixed Electoral Rules: Evidence from Germany. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2004): Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems. More

Johnston, Ron , Thomas Gschwend , Charles Pattie (2004): On Estimates of Split-Ticket Voting: EI and EMax. More

Broscheid, Andreas , Thomas Gschwend (2003): Augäpfel, Murmeltiere und Bayes: Zur Auswertung stochastischer Daten aus Vollerhebungen. More

MZES Working Paper

Norpoth, Helmut , Thomas Gschwend (2004): Mit Rot-Grün ins Schwarze getroffen: Prognosemodell besteht Feuertaufe. More

Gschwend, Thomas (2003): Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting in Mixed Electoral Systems. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Dirk Leuffen (2003): When Voters Choose Regimes: The Issue of Cohabitation in the French Elections of 2002. More

Web Articles

Sohnius, Marie-Lou , Benjamin G. Engst , Thomas Gschwend (2020): Kontinuität am Bundesverfassungsgericht? Wie die Öffentlichkeit Voßkuhles und Masings Nachfolger bewertet. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Marcel Neunhoeffer , Marie-Lou Sohnius (2019): Prof. Dr. parl. und Dr. noparl. - Vier Buchstaben mit großem Effekt. Falscher Professorentitel macht mit großer Wahrscheinlichkeit einen Unterschied. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Thomas König , Marcel Neunhoeffer (2018): Wie das bayerische Wahlrecht die CSU begünstigt. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Simon Munzert , Marcel Neunhoeffer , Sebastian Sternberg , Lukas F. Stötzer (2017): New German election forecast: Merkel’s party will win but lose seats. More

Norpoth, Helmut , Thomas Gschwend (2017): No country for neophytes: Angela Merkel will win Germany again. More

Gschwend, Thomas , Roni Lehrer (2017): Die Minderheitsregierung ist besser als ihr Ruf. More

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