(2017):
Multi-Level Electoral Politics. Beyond the Second-Order Election Model.
224.
Oxford,
Oxford University Press.
More
Prof. Gschwend, Thomas, Ph.D.
Phone:
+49-621-181-2087
Postal Address
University Mannheim, MZES
68131
Mannheim
DE
Visiting Address
University Mannheim, MZES
A5, 6
Room: 220
68159
Mannheim
Projects collapse
Citizens and Democracy
Citizens and Democracy
Publications expand
Monographie
Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
Strategic Voting in Mixed-Electoral Systems.
2,
101.
Reutlingen,
SFG-Servicecenter Fachverlag.
More
Edited Book
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
(2007):
Research Design in Political Science: How to Practice What They Preach.
Houndmills,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
(2007):
Forschungsdesign in der Politikwissenschaft : Probleme - Strategien - Anwendungen.
11,
344.
Frankfurt am Main,
Campus.
More
Behnke, Joachim,
Thomas Gschwend,
Delia Schindler,
Kai-Uwe Schnapp
(Eds.)
(2006):
Methoden der Politikwissenschaft. Neuere qualitative und quantitative Analyseverfahren.
364.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos.
More
Book Chapter
Epstein, Lee,
Gunnar Grendstad,
Urška Šadl
(Eds.)
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2024):
Observational Databases.
247-264.
Oxford,
Oxford University Press.
More
Engel, Uwe,
Anabel Quan-Haase,
Sunny Liu
(Eds.)
Nyhuis, Dominic,
Tobias Ringwald,
Oliver Rittmann,
Thomas Gschwend,
Rainer Stiefelhagen,
Lars E. Lyberg
(2022):
Automated video analysis for social science research.
386-398.
New York,
Routledge.
More
Arzheimer, Kai,
Jocelyn Evans,
Michael S. Lewis-Beck
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2017):
Strategic Voting.
339-366.
London,
Sage.
More
Schmitt-Beck, Rüdiger
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas Zittel
(2012):
Machen Wahlkreiskandidaten einen Unterschied? Die Persönlichkeitswahl als interaktiver Prozess.
371-392.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos Verlag.
More
Schmitt-Beck, Rüdiger
(Eds.)
Bytzek, Evelyn,
Thomas Gschwend,
Sascha Huber,
Eric Linhart,
Michael F. Meffert
(2012):
Koalitionssignale und ihre Wirkungen auf Wahlentscheidungen.
45,
393-418.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos.
More
Kittel, Bernhard,
Wolfgang J. Luhan,
Rebecca B. Morton
(Eds.)
Meffert, Michael F.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2011):
Experimental Triangulation of Coalition Signals: Varying Designs, Converging Results.
249-283.
Basingstoke,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Kittel, Bernhard,
Wolfgang J. Luhan,
Rebecca B. Morton
(Eds.)
Hooghe, Marc,
Sofie Marien,
Thomas Gschwend
(2011):
Gathering Counter-Factual Evidence: An Experimental Study on Voters’ Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions.
413-440.
Basingstoke,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas Zittel,
Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck
(2011):
Machen Wahlkreiskandidaten einen Unterschied? Die Persönlichkeitswahl als interaktiver Prozess.
45,
371-392.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos.
More
Anderson, Christopher,
Russell Dalton
(Eds.)
Blais, André,
Thomas Gschwend
(2010):
Strategic Defection across Elections, Parties, and Voters.
176-196.
Oxford,
Oxford University Press.
More
Klingemann, Hans-Dieter
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas
(2009):
District Magnitude and the Comparative Study of Strategic Voting.
289-307.
Oxford,
Oxford University Press.
More
Linhart, Eric,
Susumu Shikano
(Eds.)
Meffert, Michael F.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2009):
Strategisches Wählen in Mehrparteiensystemen: ein Gruppenexperiment.
107-132.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos.
More
Gabriel, Oscar W.,
Bernhard Weßels,
Jürgen W. Falter
(Eds.)
Huber, Sascha,
Thomas Gschwend,
Michael F. Meffert,
Franz Urban Pappi
(2009):
Erwartungsbildung über den Wahlausgang und ihr Einfluss auf die Wahlentscheidung.
561-584.
Wiesbaden,
VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
More
Völkl, Kerstin,
Kai-Uwe Schnapp,
Everhard Holtmann,
Oscar W. Gabriel
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Abgeordnetenhauswahlen sind keine Bundestagswahlen. Oder doch? Erfahrungsbericht aus Berlin.
93-120.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos.
More
Schmitt, Hermann
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Studying Contamination Effects in Multi-Level Systems of Governance: First Thoughts about Hypotheses and Research Design.
229-240.
Mannheim
.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
De Bièvre, Dirk
(2007):
Falsification in Theory-Guided Empirical Social Research: How to Change a Tire while Riding Your Bicycle.
203-215.
Basingstoke,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Lehnert, Matthias,
Bernhard Miller,
Arndt Wonka
(2007):
Na und? Überlegungen zur theoretischen und gesellschaftlichen Relevanz in der Politikwissenschaft.
39-60.
Frankfurt/Main,
Campus.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Wonka, Arndt
(2007):
Um was geht es? Konzeptspezifikation in der politikwissenschaftlichen Forschung.
63-89.
Frankfurt/Main,
Campus.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Lehnert, Matthias,
Bernhard Miller,
Arndt Wonka
(2007):
Increasing the Relevance of Research Questions: Considerations on Theoretical and Social Relevance in Political Science.
62-79.
Houndmills,
Palgrave MacMillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Wonka, Arndt
(2007):
Concept Specification in Political Science Research.
41-61.
Houndmills,
Palgrave MacMillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Miller, Bernhard
(2007):
Maßvoll Messen: Zur konzeptorientierten Entwicklung von Messinstrumenten.
123-148.
Frankfurt am Main,
Campus.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Miller, Bernhard
(2007):
Making Measures Capture Concepts: Tools for Securing Correspondence between Theoretical Ideas and Observations.
83-102.
Houndmills,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(2007):
Forschungsdesign in der Politikwissenschaft: Ein Dialog zwischen Theorie und Daten.
13-35.
Frankfurt/Main,
Campus Verlag.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Rathke, Julia
(2007):
Achieving Comparability of Secondary Data.
103-124.
Houndmills,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Rathke, Julia
(2007):
Identisch und doch verschieden, verschieden und doch vergleichbar? Zur Äquivalenz von Sekundärdaten.
149-176.
Frankfurt/Main,
Campus Verlag.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
De Bièvre, Dirk
(2007):
Über Falsifikation in theoriegeleiteter empirischer Sozialforschung: Wie man während der Fahrt den Reifen wechselt.
305-321.
Frankfurt/Main,
Campus Verlag.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(2007):
Lehren für den Dialog zwischen Theorie und Daten.
323-336.
Frankfurt/Main,
Campus Verlag.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(2007):
Conclusion: Lessons for the Dialogue between Theory and Data.
216-225.
Houndmills,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Dür, Andreas
(2007):
Discriminating among Rival Explanations: Some Tools for Small-n Researchers.
183-200.
Houndmills,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Dür, Andreas
(2007):
Einige Anregungen zur Auswahl zwischen konkurrierenden Erklärungsansätzen in Y-zentrierter Forschung.
281-302.
Frankfurt/Main,
Campus Verlag.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Sieberer, Ulrich
(2007):
Selecting independent variables. Competing recommendations for factor-centric and outcome-centric research designs.
163-182.
Basingstoke,
Palgrave.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Sieberer, Ulrich
(2007):
"Aber könnte es nicht auch sein, dass...?" Die Auswahl unabhängiger Variablen in X-zentrierten und Y-zentrierten Forschungsdesigns.
253-279.
Frankfurt,
Campus.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Thiem, Janina
(2007):
Dealing Effectively with Selection Bias in Large-n Research.
127-144.
Houndmills,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Thiem, Janina
(2007):
Zum Umgang mit Selektionsverzerrungen in Forschungsdesigns mit großer Fallzahl.
179-200.
Frankfurt/Main,
Campus Verlag.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Frank Schimmelfennig
(2007):
Introduction: Designing Research in Political Science - A Dialogue between Theory and Data.
1-18.
Houndmills,
Palgrave Macmillan.
More
Behnke, Joachim,
Thomas Gschwend,
Delia Schindler,
Kai-Uwe Schnapp
(Eds.)
Thurner, Paul W.
(2006):
Modelle diskreter Entscheidungen.
193-204.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos.
More
Behnke, Joachim,
Delia Schindler,
Kai-Uwe Schnapp
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Ökologische Inferenz.
227-237.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos.
More
Schnapp, Kai-Uwe,
Delia Schindler,
Thomas Gschwend,
Joachim Behnke
(2006):
Qualitative und Quantitative Zugänge: Eine integrative Perspektive.
11-26.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos.
More
Behnke, Joachim,
Thomas Gschwend,
Delia Schindler,
Kai-Uwe Schnapp
(Eds.)
Gangl, Markus
(2006):
Propensity Score Matching.
251-262.
Baden-Baden,
Nomos.
More
Falter, Jürgen W.,
Oscar W. Gabriel,
Bernhard Weßels
(Eds.)
Pappi, Franz Urban,
Thomas Gschwend
(2005):
Partei- und Koalitionspräferenzen der Wähler bei den Bundestagswahlen 1998 und 2002.
284-305.
Wiesbaden,
Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
More
Falter, Jürgen W.,
Oscar W. Gabriel,
Bernhard Weßels
(Eds.)
Norpoth, Helmut,
Thomas Gschwend
(2005):
Mit Rot-Grün ins Schwarze getroffen: Prognosemodell besteht Feuertaufe.
371-387.
Wiesbaden,
Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
More
Brettschneider, Frank,
Edeltraud Roller
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas,
Franz Urban Pappi
(2004):
Stimmensplitting und Koalitionswahl [Ticket-Splitting and Coalition Voting].
167-183.
Wiesbaden,
VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
More
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas,
Dirk Leuffen
(2004):
Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place: Electoral Dilemmas and Turnout in the 2002 French Legislative Elections.
155-177.
Houndmills, Basingstoke,
Palgrave.
More
Norpoth, Helmut,
Thomas Gschwend
(2003):
Politbarometer und Wahlprognosen: Die Kanzlerfrage..
109-123.
Opladen,
Leske + Budrich.
More
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.,
Alan Bryman,
Tim Futing Liao
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Statistical Control.
1076.
Newbury Park, CA,
Sage.
More
Klingemann, Hans-Dieter,
Max Kaase
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas,
Helmut Norpoth
(2001):
'Wenn am nächsten Sonntag ...': Ein Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen.
473-499.
Wiesbaden,
Westdeutscher Verlag.
More
Klein, Markus,
Wolfgang Jagodzinski,
Ekkehard Mochmann,
Dieter Ohr
(Eds.)
Gschwend, Thomas,
Helmut Norpoth
(2000):
Soll und Haben: Die deutsche Wählerschaft rechnet mit den Parteien ab.
389 - 409.
Wiesbaden,
Westdeutscher Verlag.
More
Journal Article
Wendering, Leonard,
Marc Ratkovic,
Thomas Gschwend,
Henning Schönenberger,
Niki Scaplehorn
(2025):
Lessons from an AI-Sprint: a proposal for measuring human-AI cooperation in research.
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications,
12,
(article no 1707) 1-4.
More
Ratkovic, Marc,
Thomas Gschwend,
Leonard Wendering,
Kevin Bauer,
Anna-Sophie Kurella,
Oliver Rittmann,
Melanie Sauter,
Nicole Schwitter
(2025):
Harnessing GPT for Enhanced Academic Writing: Evidence from a Field Experiment with Early-Career Researchers in the Social Sciences.
Social Science Research Network SSRN,
5313034,
1-17.
More
Stoetzer, Lukas,
Cornelius Erfort,
Hannah Rajski,
Thomas Gschwend,
Simon Munzert,
Elias Koch
(2025):
An election forecasting model for subnational elections.
Electoral Studies,
95,
Article No. 102939,
1-10.
More
Erfort, Cornelius,
Lukas Stoetzer,
Elias Koch,
Simon Munzert,
Hannah Rajski,
Thomas Gschwend
(2025):
The Zweitstimme Forecast for the German Federal Election 2025: Coalition Majorities and Vacant Districts.
PS: Political Science & Politics,
59,
1,
48-54.
More
Lehrer, Roni,
Oke Bahnsen,
Klara Müller,
Thomas Gschwend,
Sebastian Juhl
(2025):
Rallying around the leader in times of crises: The opposing effects of perceived threat and anxiety.
European Journal of Political Research,
64,
2,
697-718.
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
David M. Grundmanns,
Thomas Gschwend
(2025):
How to place non-majoritarian institutions and political actors in a common policy space: Spatial modeling of court–executive interactions.
The Journal of Politics,
87,
4,
1335 - 1349.
More
Rittmann, Oliver,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Thomas Gschwend
(2025):
How to improve the substantive interpretation of regression results when the dependent variable is logged.
Political Science Research and Methods,
13,
1,
203-211.
More
Behrens, Lion,
Dominic Nyhuis,
Thomas Gschwend
(2024):
Political ambition and opposition legislative review: Bill scrutiny as an intra-party signalling device.
European Journal of Political Research,
63,
1,
66-88.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Oliver Rittmann,
Lisa-Marie Werner
(2023):
Zwischen Wahlkreisreduzierung und Bürgernähe: Zur aktuellen Reformdiskussion des Wahlrechts in Baden-Württemberg.
Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen (ZParl),
54,
3,
611-624.
More
Arnold, Christian,
Benjamin G. Engst,
Thomas Gschwend
(2023):
Scaling Court Decisions with Citation Networks.
Journal of Law and Courts,
11,
1,
25-44.
More
Rittmann, Oliver,
Marie-Lou Sohnius,
Thomas Gschwend
(2023):
Candidate awareness in mixed-member electoral systems: A data-driven approach.
Electoral Studies,
86,
(article no. 102700), pp. 1-13.
More
Sohnius, Marie-Lou,
Thomas Gschwend,
Oliver Rittmann
(2022):
Welche Auswirkungen haben größere Wahlkreise auf das Politische Verhalten? Ein empirischer Beitrag zur Wahlrechtsreform.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
63,
4,
685-701.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Klara Müller,
Simon Munzert,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Lukas Stoetzer
(2022):
The Zweitstimme Model: A Dynamic Forecast of the 2021 German Federal Election.
PS: Political Science and Politics,
55,
1,
85-90.
More
Behrens, Lion,
Dominic Nyhuis,
Thomas Gschwend
(2022):
Constructive and destructive legislative review: The government-opposition divide in parliamentary oversight.
The Journal of Politics,
85,
1,
223-239.
More
Bol, Damien,
Thomas Gschwend,
Thomas Zittel,
Steffen Zittlau
(2021):
The Importance of Personal Vote Intentions for the Responsiveness of Legislators: A Field Experiment.
European Journal of Political Research,
60,
2,
455-473.
More
Dentler, Klara,
Thomas Gschwend,
David Hünlich
(2021):
A swing vote from the ethnic backstage: The role of German American isolationist tradition for Trump’s 2016 victory.
Electoral Studies,
71,
(article no. 102309).
More
Neunhoeffer, Marcel,
Thomas Gschwend,
Simon Munzert,
Lukas Stoetzer
(2020):
Ein Ansatz zur Vorhersage der Erststimmenanteile bei Bundestagswahlen.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
61,
1,
111-113.
More
Rheault, Ludovic,
André Blais,
John H. Aldrich,
Thomas Gschwend
(2020):
Understanding people's choice when they have two votes.
Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties,
30,
4,
466-483.
More
Bowler, Shaun,
Thomas Gschwend,
Indridi H. Indridason
(2020):
Coalition Policy Perceptions.
The Journal of Politics,
82,
4,
1458-1473.
More
Crabtree, Charles,
Matt Golder,
Thomas Gschwend,
Indridi H. Indridason
(2020):
It Is Not Only What You Say, It Is Also How You Say It: The Strategic Use of Campaign Sentiment.
The Journal of Politics,
82,
3,
1044-1060.
More
Bahnsen, Oke,
Thomas Gschwend,
Lukas F. Stötzer
(2020):
How do coalition signals shape voting behavior? Revealing the mediating role of coalition expectations.
Electoral Studies,
66,
August 2020,
(article no. 102166).
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Thomas Gschwend,
Sebastian Sternberg
(2020):
Die Besetzung des Bundesverfassungsgerichts. Ein Spiegelbild gesellschaftlicher Präferenzen.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
61,
1,
39-60.
More
Stötzer, Lukas F.,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Thomas Gschwend,
Simon Munzert,
Sebastian Sternberg
(2019):
Forecasting Elections in Multiparty Systems: A Bayesian Approach Combining Polls and Fundamentals.
Political Analysis,
27,
2,
255-262.
More
Lehrer, Roni,
Sebastian Juhl,
Thomas Gschwend
(2019):
The Wisdom of Crowds Design for Sensitive Survey Questions.
Electoral Studies,
57,
99-109.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas Zittel
(2018):
Who brings home the pork? Parties and the role of localness in committee assignments in mixed-member proportional systems.
Party Politics,
24,
5,
488-500.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Sebastian Juhl,
Roni Lehrer
(2018):
Die "Sonntagsfrage", soziale Erwünschtheit und die AfD: Wie alternative Messmethoden der Politikwissenschaft weiterhelfen können.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
59,
3,
493-519.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert,
Lukas F. Stötzer
(2017):
Weighting Parties and Coalitions: How Coalition Signals Influence Voting Behavior.
The Journal of Politics,
79,
2,
642-655.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Helmut Norpoth
(2017):
Machtwechsel in Sicht? Die Vorhersage des Kanzlermodells für die Bundestagswahl 2017.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
58,
3,
392-406.
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Thomas Gschwend,
Nils Schaks,
Sebastian Sternberg,
Caroline Wittig
(2017):
Zum Einfluss der Parteinähe auf das Abstimmungsverhalten der Bundesverfassungsrichter - eine quantitative Untersuchung.
JuristenZeitung,
72,
17,
816-826.
More
Norpoth, Helmut,
Thomas Gschwend
(2017):
Chancellor Model Predicts a Change of the Guards.
PS: Political Science & Politics,
50,
3,
686-688.
More
Munzert, Simon,
Lukas F. Stötzer,
Thomas Gschwend,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Sebastian Sternberg
(2017):
Zweitstimme.org. Ein strukturell-dynamisches Vorhersagemodell für Bundestagswahlen.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
58,
3,
418-441.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Lukas F. Stötzer,
Steffen Zittlau
(2016):
What drives rental votes? How coalitions signals facilitate strategic coalition voting.
Electoral Studies ,
44,
December,
293-306.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas Zittel
(2015):
Do constituency candidates matter in German Federal Elections? The personal vote as an interactive process.
Electoral Studies,
39,
September,
338-349.
More
Stötzer, Lukas F.,
Steffen Zittlau,
Thomas Gschwend,
Tobias Witt
(2015):
Leihstimmen im Bundestagswahljahr 2013.
Journal of Political Psychology,
4,
1,
88-107.
More
Sternberg, Sebastian,
Thomas Gschwend,
Caroline Wittig,
Benjamin G. Engst
(2015):
Zum Einfluss der öffentlichen Meinung auf Entscheidungen des Bundesverfassungsgerichts: Eine Analyse von abstrakten Normenkontrollen sowie Bund-Länder-Streitigkeiten 1974 – 2010.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
56,
4,
570-598.
More
Lo, James,
Sven-Oliver Proksch,
Thomas Gschwend
(2014):
A Common Left-Right Scale for Voters and Parties in Europe.
Political Analysis,
22,
2,
205-223.
More
Norpoth, Helmut,
Thomas Gschwend
(2013):
Chancellor Model Picks Merkel in 2013 German Election.
Political Science & Politics,
46,
3,
481-482.
More
Meffert, Michael F.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2011):
Polls, coalition signals and strategic voting: An experimental investigation of perceptions and effects.
European Journal of Political Research,
50,
5,
636-667.
More
Meffert, Michael F.,
Sascha Huber,
Thomas Gschwend,
Franz Urban Pappi
(2011):
More than wishful thinking: Causes and consequences of voters electoral expectations about parties and coalitions.
Electoral Studies,
30,
4,
804-815.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2011):
Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effect.
European Journal of Political Research,
50,
5,
636-667.
More
Bräuninger, Thomas,
Thomas Gschwend,
Susumu Shikano
(2010):
Sachpolitik oder Parteipolitik? Eine Bestimmung des Parteidrucks im Bundesrat mittles bayesianischer Methoden.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
51,
2,
223-249.
More
Meffert, Michael F.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2010):
Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria.
Electoral Studies,
29,
3,
339-349.
More
Norpoth, Helmut,
Thomas Gschwend
(2010):
The Chancellor Model: Forecasting German Elections.
International Journal of Forecasting,
26,
1,
42-53.
More
Hönnige, Christoph,
Thomas Gschwend
(2010):
Das Bundesverfassungsgericht im politischen System der BRD – ein unbekanntes Wesen?.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
51,
3,
507-530.
More
Zittel, Thomas,
Thomas Gschwend
(2008):
Individualised Constituency Campaigns in Mixed-Member Electoral Systems: Candidates in the 2005 German Elections.
West European Politics,
31,
5,
879-1003.
More
Elff, Martin,
Thomas Gschwend,
Johnston Ron
(2008):
Ignoramus, Ignorabimus? On Uncertainty in Ecological Inference.
Political Analysis,
16,
1,
70-92.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Marc Hooghe
(2008):
Should I Stay or Should I Go? An Experimental Study on Voter Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions.
European Journal of Political Research,
47,
5,
556-577.
More
Lavine, Howard,
Thomas Gschwend
(2007):
Issues, Parties and Character: The Moderating Role of Ideological Thinking on Candidate Evaluation.
British Journal of Political Science,
37,
1,
139-163.
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Ticket-splitting and strategic voting under mixed electoral rules: Evidence from Germany.
European Journal of Political Research,
46,
1,
1-23.
More
Zittel, Thomas,
Thomas Gschwend
(2007):
Individualisierte Wahlkämpfe im Wahlkreis. Eine Analyse am Beispiel des Bundestagswahlkampfes von 2005.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
48,
2,
293-321.
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Berliner Abgeordnetenhauswahlen 1979 bis 2001: keine Testwahlen für die Bundesebene.
Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen ,
38,
3,
531-540.
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting and Party System Change in Portugal.
Portuguese Journal of Social Science,
6,
1,
15-31.
More
Wüst, Andreas M.,
Hermann Schmitt,
Thomas Gschwend,
Thomas Zittel
(2006):
Candidates in the 2005 Bundestag Election: Mode of Candidacy, Campaigning and Issues.
German Politics,
15,
4,
420-438.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Henk van der Kolk
(2006):
Split Ticket Voting in Mixed Member Proportional Systems: The Hypothetical Case of The Netherlands.
Acta Politica,
41,
2,
163-179.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Dirk Leuffen
(2005):
Divided We Stand - Unified We Govern? Cohabitation and Regime Voting in the 2002 French Elections.
British Journal of Political Science,
35,
691-712.
More
Broscheid, Andreas,
Thomas Gschwend
(2005):
Zur statistischen Analyse von Vollerhebungen.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
46,
1,
O-16 – O-26.
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Analyzing Quota Sample Data and the Peer-Review Process.
French Politics,
3,
1,
88-91.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Helmut Norpoth
(2005):
Prognosemodell auf dem Prüfstand: Die Bundestagswahl 2005.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift,
46,
4,
682-688.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Ron Johnston,
Charles Pattie
(2003):
Split-Ticket Patterns in Mixed-Member Proportional Election Systems: Estimates and Analyses of their Spatial Variation at the German Federal Election, 1998.
British Journal of Political Science,
33,
109-127.
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Iterative EI-Schätzungen und das interne Konsistenzproblem.
Wirtschaft und Statistik,
3,
262-267.
More
Norpoth, Helmut,
Thomas Gschwend
(2003):
Against all Odds?: The Red-Green Victory.
German Politics and Society,
21,
15-34.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Helmut Norpoth
(2003):
Knapp aber vorhersehbar: Schröders Wahlsieg.
FORUM - Forschung Universität Mannheim,
10-13.
More
Presentation
Rittmann, Oliver,
Thomas Gschwend,
Lisa-Marie Müller
(2025):
What Drives Citizen Support for Electoral Reform? Disentangling Partisan, Local, and Fairness Considerations.
[15th annual conference of the European Political Science Association (EPSA), Madrid, 26/06/2025 - 28/06/2025].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Simon Munzert,
Hannah Rajski,
Lukas Stoetzer
(2025):
The Zweitstimme Model: A Forecast of the 2025 German Federal Election.
[121st Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (APSA), Vancouver, 11/09/2025 - 14/09/2025].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael Meffert
(2024):
Party preferences precede coalition preferences: A response time analysis.
[14th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Köln, 04/07/2024 - 06/07/2024].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2024):
Citizens' commitment to judicial independence: A discrete choice experiment in nine European countries.
[14th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Köln, 04/07/2024 - 06/07/2024].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
David M. Grundmanns,
Thomas Gschwend
(2023):
The power of words: Strategic judicial opinion-writing to influence politics and society.
[13th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Glasgow, 22/06/2023 - 24/06/2023].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Indridi Indridason,
Lukas Stoetzer
(2023):
Pre-electoral coalition strategies in multiparty systems.
[13th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Glasgow, 22/06/2023 - 24/06/2023].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Thomas Gschwend,
Christoph Hönnige,
Sylvain Brouard
(2022):
Who should be selected to the highest courts? Evidence from Survey Experiments in France, Germany and the United States.
[ECPR General Conference, Innsbruck, 22/08/2022 - 26/08/2022].
More
Engst, Benjamin,
Thomas Gschwend,
Christoph Hönnige,
Sylvain Brouard
(2022):
Who should be selected to the highest courts? Evidence from survey experiments in France, Germany and the United States.
[12th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Prague, 23/06/2022 - 26/06/2022].
More
Sohnius, Marie-Lou,
Thomas Gschwend,
Oliver Rittmann
(2022):
Unintended Consequences of Increasing Electoral Districts? Evidence From Germany.
[Tagung des DVPW-Arbeitskreises "Wahlen und politische Einstellungen", Berlin, 19/05/2022 - 20/05/2022].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Oliver Rittmann
(2021):
Simulating Quantities of Interest when the Dependent Variable is Logged.
[1. PolMeth Europe Conference, (virtual conference), 17/03/2021 - 19/03/2021].
More
Adendorf, Anna,
Ines Rehbein,
Oke Bahnsen,
Thomas Gschwend,
Simone Paolo Ponzetto,
Lukas F. Stötzer
(2021):
Who wants to go with whom? Identifying coalition signals in newspaper articles using transfer learning.
[28. Wissenschaftlicher Kongress der Deutschen Vereinigung für Politikwissenschaft, (virtual conference), 14/09/2021 - 16/09/2021].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
David Grundmans,
Thomas Gschwend
(2021):
Give them the word, they sharpen the sword - How high courts use language to exert political and societal power.
[15th General Conference of the ECPR, (virtual conference), 30/08/2021 - 03/09/2021].
More
Behrens, Lion,
Dominic Nyhuis,
Thomas Gschwend
(2021):
Coalition Policymaking and Opposition Legislative Review: Collaboration, Bill Obstruction, and Issue-Ownership.
[11th Annual Meeting of the European Political Science Association, (virtual conference), 24/06/2021 - 25/06/2021].
More
Engst, Benjamin,
David M. Grundmanns,
Thomas Gschwend
(2021):
Give them the word, they sharpen the sword - How high courts use language to exert political and societal power.
[11th Annual Meeting of the European Political Science Association, (virtual conference), 24/06/2021 - 25/06/2021].
More
Adendorf, Anna,
Ines Rehbein,
Oke Bahnsen,
Thomas Gschwend,
Simone Paolo Ponzetto,
Lukas F. Stötzer
(2021):
Who wants to go with whom? Identifying coalition signals in newspaper articles using transfer learning.
[11th Annual Meeting of the European Political Science Association, (virtual conference), 24/06/2021 - 25/06/2021].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2020):
Attitudes on Judicial Independence: A Discrete Choice Experiment in Four EU Member States.
[10th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, (virtual conference), 18/06/2020 - 20/06/2020].
More
Nyhuis, Dominic,
Lion Behrens,
Thomas Gschwend,
Tobias Ringwald,
M. Saquib Sarfraz,
Rainer Stiefelhagen
(2019):
Beyond text as data: Automated video analysis for research on legislative politics.
[9th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Belfast, 20/06/2019 - 22/06/2019].
More
Nyhuis, Dominic,
Lion Behrens,
Thomas Gschwend,
Tobias Ringwald,
M. Saquib Sarfraz,
Rainer Stiefelhagen
(2019):
Beyond text as data: Computer vision in political research.
[Political Annual Methodology Conference, Warwick, 11/01/2019 - 11/01/2019].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Thomas Gschwend,
Christoph Hönnige,
Caroline Wittig
(2019):
The Constitutional Court Database. Conceptualizing a relational database.
[Workshop "Multi-User Databases on Judicial Decision-Making", Florence, 10/10/2019 - 11/10/2019].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
David M. Grundmanns,
Thomas Gschwend
(2019):
Judicial Positions on Political Reform. Designing common policy scores from judicial text.
[9th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Belfast, 20/06/2019 - 22/06/2019].
More
Behrens, Lion,
Dominic Nyhuis,
Thomas Gschwend
(2019):
Opposition strategies in legislative review: Tracing the strategic use of legislative amendments using syntax-aware automated text analysis.
[9th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Belfast, 20/06/2019 - 22/06/2019].
More
Arnold, Christian,
Benjamin G. Engst,
Thomas Gschwend
(2019):
Scaling Lower Court Decisions.
[Conference on Data Science and Law, Zurich, 07/06/2019 - 08/06/2019].
More
Nyhuis, Dominic,
Lion Behrens,
Thomas Gschwend,
Tobias Ringwald,
M. Saquib Sarfraz,
Rainer Stiefelhagen
(2019):
Individual salience attributions in the US House of Representatives: Evidence from an automated analysis of parliamentary video recordings.
[77th Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association (MPSA), Chicago, IL, 04/04/2019 - 07/04/2019].
More
Stötzer, Lukas F.,
Indridi I. Indridason,
Thomas Gschwend
(2018):
Pre-Electoral Coalition Strategies in Multiparty Systems.
[27. Wissenschaftliche Kongress der Deutschen Vereinigung für Politikwissenschaft, Frankfurt am Main, 25/09/2018 - 28/09/2018].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Indridi H. Indridason,
Lukas F. Stötzer
(2018):
Pre-Electoral Coalition Strategies in Multiparty Systems.
[8th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Vienna, 21/06/2018 - 23/06/2018].
More
Stötzer, Lukas F.,
Simon Munzert,
Thomas Gschwend,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Sebastian Sternberg
(2017):
Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach.
[7th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Milan, 22/06/2017 - 24/06/2017].
More
Stötzer, Lukas F.,
Simon Munzert,
Thomas Gschwend,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Sebastian Sternberg
(2017):
Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach.
[Invited Talk, University of Amsterdam, 14/09/2017 - 14/09/2017].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Thomas Gschwend,
Sebastian Sternberg
(2017):
Public Support for Judicial Nominations: Evidence from a Discrete-Choice Experiment.
[7th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Milan, 22/06/2017 - 24/06/2017].
More
Stötzer, Lukas F.,
Simon Munzert,
Thomas Gschwend,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Sebastian Sternberg
(2017):
Forecasting Elections in Multi-party Systems: A Backwards Random-walk Approach.
[11th ECPR General Conference, Oslo, 06/09/2017 - 09/09/2017].
More
Zittel, Thomas,
Thomas Gschwend
(2016):
Who brings home the pork? Committee Assignments under Germany's Mixed System.
[44th ECPR Joint Sessions of Workshops, Pisa, 24/04/2016 - 28/04/2016].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2016):
Strategic and Sincere Voting in Multi-level Systems.
[Workshop Making Electoral Democracy Work, Montreal, Kanada, 17/06/2016 - 18/06/2016].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Sebastian Sternberg,
Steffen Zittlau
(2016):
Are Judges Political Animals After All? Quasi-experimental Evidence from the German Federal Constitutional Court.
[6th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Brussels, 23/06/2016 - 25/06/2016].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2016):
Strategic and Sincere Voting in Multi-level Systems.
[6th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Brussels, 23/06/2016 - 25/06/2016].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Sebastian Sternberg,
Steffen Zittlau
(2016):
Are Judges Political Animals after All? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the German Federal Constitutional Court.
[First Conference on Empirical Legal Studies in Europe (CELSE), University of Amsterdam, 21/06/2016 - 22/06/2016].
More
Crabtree, Charles,
Matt Golder,
Thomas Gschwend,
Indridi H. Indridason
(2016):
Campaign Sentiment in European Manifestos.
[6th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Brussels, 23/06/2016 - 25/06/2016].
More
Indridason, Indridi H.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2015):
Estimating Policy Perceptions of Party Influence on Coalition Policy Perceptions.
[5th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Vienna, 25/06/2015 - 27/06/2015].
More
Bol, Damien,
Thomas Gschwend,
Thomas Zittel,
Steffen Zittlau
(2015):
The Electoral Source of Good Government: A Field Experiment on German MPs.
[5th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Vienna, 25/06/2015 - 27/06/2015].
More
Hönnige, Christoph,
Benjamin G. Engst,
Caroline Wittig,
Thomas Gschwend
(2015):
Demand for Change: Institutional Features Empowering Judges as Policy Makers.
[73rd Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, 16/04/2015 - 19/04/2015].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas Zittel
(2015):
Who brings home the pork? The role of electoral context and localness in assigning committee seats in the German Bundestag.
[9th ECPR General Conference, Université de Montréal, 26/08/2015 - 29/08/2015].
More
Hönnige, Christoph,
Thomas Gschwend,
Benjamin G. Engst,
Caroline Wittig
(2015):
Constitutional Courts as Veto Players: Composition, Absorption and Decisions at the German Court.
[9th ECPR General Conference, Université de Montréal, 26/08/2015 - 29/08/2015].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas Zittel
(2015):
Who brings home the pork? The role of electoral context and localness in assigning committee seats in the German Bundestag.
[111th Annual Conference of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, CA, 03/09/2015 - 06/09/2015].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Lukas F. Stötzer,
Steffen Zittlau
(2015):
Valence Campaigning in the 2008 US Congressional Elections.
[111th Annual Conference of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, 03/09/2015 - 06/09/2015].
More
Bowler, Shaun,
Thomas Gschwend,
Indridi H. Indridason
(2014):
Coalition Policy Perceptions.
[4th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Edinburgh, 19/06/2014 - 21/06/2014].
More
Golder, Matt,
Thomas Gschwend,
Indridi H. Indridason
(2014):
Negative Campaigning in Multicandidate Primary Elections .
[4th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Edinnburgh, 19/06/2014 - 21/06/2014].
More
Hönnige, Christoph,
Thomas Gschwend,
Benjamin G. Engst,
Caroline Wittig
(2014):
The German Constitutional Court as Veto Player - Composition, Decisions and the Absorption Hypothesis.
[23nd IPSA World Congress of Political Science, Montreal, 19/07/2014 - 25/07/2014].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Lukas F. Stötzer,
Steffen Zittlau
(2014):
Why don't you talk about policy? Valence campaigning in the 2008 US Congressional elections.
[4th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Edinburgh, 19/06/2014 - 21/06/2014].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Caroline Wittig,
Christoph Hönnige,
Thomas Gschwend
(2014):
Validating own Interests through Invalidating: Judges Shaping Policy.
[4th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Edinburgh, 19/06/2014 - 21/06/2014].
More
Hönnige, Christoph,
Thomas Gschwend,
Caroline Wittig,
Benjamin G. Engst
(2014):
The German Constitutional Court - Conceptualizing an Innovative Database.
[110th APSA Annual Meeting 'Politics after the revolution', Washington D.C., 28/08/2014 - 31/08/2014].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Caroline Wittig,
Christoph Hönnige,
Thomas Gschwend
(2013):
Courts as Veto Players: A Game Theoretic Model.
[41st ECPR Joint Sessions of Workshops, University of Mainz, 11/03/2013 - 16/03/2013].
More
Bol, Damien,
Thomas Zittel,
Thomas Gschwend
(2013):
The impact of the Electoral Context on Personal Vote Strategies: A Field Experiment on German Legislators.
[7th ECPR General Conference, Sciences Po, Bordeaux, 04/09/2013 - 07/09/2013].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael Meffert,
Lukas F. Stötzer
(2013):
How Coalition Signals Influence Voting Behavior.
[3rd Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Barcelona, 20/06/2013 - 22/06/2013].
More
Golder, Matt,
Thomas Gschwend,
Indridi H. Indridason
(2013):
Negative Campaigning.
[3rd Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Barcelona, 20/06/2013 - 22/06/2013].
More
Golder, Matt,
Thomas Gschwend,
Indridi H. Indridason
(2013):
Negative Campaigning.
[Annual Meeting of the 'Making Electoral Democracy Work Project', McGill University, Montreal, 31/05/2013 - 01/06/2013].
More
Blais, André,
Ludovic Rheault,
John H. Aldrich,
Thomas Gschwend
(2013):
Understanding People's Choice When They Have Two Votes.
[Annual Conference of the Canadian Political Science Association, University of Victoria, British Columbia, 04/06/2013 - 06/06/2013].
More
Engst, Benjamin G.,
Caroline Wittig,
Christoph Hönnige,
Thomas Gschwend
(2013):
Courts as Veto Players: A Game Theoretic Model.
[7th ECPR General Conference, Sciences Po, Bordeaux, 04/09/2013 - 07/09/2013].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Markus Wagner,
Eva Zeglovits,
Sylvia Kritzinger
(2012):
Sequencing Effekte: Links-Rechts-Positionierung und weitere Survey Experimente.
[AUTNES, Vienna, 04/10/2012 - 05/10/2012].
More
Wagner, Markus,
Eva Zeglovits,
Sylvia Kritzinger,
Thomas Gschwend
(2012):
Sequencing Effekte: Links-Rechts-Positionierung und weitere Instrumententests in AUTNES.
[AUTNES, Vienna, 08/11/2012 - 09/11/2012].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2012):
Strategic Voting: Coalitions, Preferences and Expectations.
[AUTNES, Vienna, 04/10/2012 - 05/10/2012].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael Stoiber
(2012):
Strategic Voting in Proportional Systems: The Case of Finland.
[The Effects of District Magnitude, Lissabon, 29/05/2012 - 30/05/2012].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2012):
Strategic Voting: Coalitions, Preferences and Expectations.
[AUTNES, Vienna, 20/09/2012 - 20/09/2012].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas Zittel
(2011):
Do Constituency Candidates Matter in German Federal Elections? The Personal Vote as an Interactive Process.
[1st Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Dublin, 16/06/2011 - 18/06/2011].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Sven-Oliver Proksch
(2010):
Improving the Measurement of Policy Preferences in Surveys: Bringing the Status-Quo back in.
[REPCONG-Workshop "Policy Representation Europe", Mannheim, 28/05/2010 - 29/05/2010].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2009):
Über elektorale Folgen der Politikverflechtung in Mehrebenensystemen: Auswirkungen der bundespolitischen Großwetterlage und Landtagswahlen.
[Jahrestagung des Arbeitskreises "Wahlen und politische Einstellungen" der DVPW, Frankfurt am Main, 07/05/2009 - 08/05/2009].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2009):
Über elektorale Folgen der Politikverflechtung in Mehrebenensystemen: Auswirkungen der bundespolitschen Großwetterlage und Landtagswahlen.
[Jahrestagung des AK Wahlen und politische Einstellungen der DVPW, Frankfurt/Main, 07/05/2009 - 08/05/2009].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2009):
Siegt 2009 Schwarz-Gelb? Wahlprognosen per Zauberformel.
[Vortrag, Gütersloh, 10/09/2009 - 10/09/2009].
More
Meffert, Michael F.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2009):
Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effects..
[8. Politicologenetmaal der Niederländisch-Flämischen Politikwissenschaftler, Berg en Dal, 29/05/2009 - 30/05/2009].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Matthew S. Shugart,
Thomas Zittel
(2009):
Assigning Committee Seats in Mixed-Member Systems - How Important is “Localness” compared to the Mode of Election?.
[ECPR General Conference, Potsdam, 10/09/2009 - 12/09/2009].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (APSA), Boston, Mass., 28/08/2008 - 31/08/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert,
Sascha Huber,
Franz Urban Pappi
(2008):
More than Wishful Thinking: Causes and Consequences of Voter's Expectations about Election Outcomes.
[International Communication Association, Annual Meeting, Montréal, 22/05/2008 - 26/05/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effects.
[AK Wahlen, Annual Meeting, Duisburg, 15/05/2008 - 16/05/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation and Coalition governments: A Laboratory Experiment.
[International Society for Political Psychology, Annual Meeting, Paris, 09/07/2008 - 12/07/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Strategisches Wahlverhalten in Mehrparteiensystemen: Ein Gruppenexperiment.
[AK Handlungs- und Entscheidungstheorie, DVPW, Annual Meeting, Mainz, 27/06/2008 - 27/06/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Voting for Coalitions? The Role of Coalition Preferences.
[Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 03/04/2008 - 06/04/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas Zittel
(2008):
Presentation of Country Database Issues: Germany.
[Workshop on “Electoral Systems and Party Personnel, Del Mar, CA, 25/08/2008 - 27/08/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Vorhersagen müssen keine Hexerei sein.
[Gastvorlesung Universität Darmstadt, Darmstadt, 13/06/2008 - 13/06/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Kausale Inferenz mit Koalitionssignalen.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Zürich, 22/09/2008 - 22/09/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
X-zentriert statt x-beliebig: Zur Bedeutung von Randomisierung für Kausalanalysen der Politik- und Verwaltungsforschung.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Konstanz, 14/11/2008 - 14/11/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Strategisches Wählerverhalten und Wahlsystem.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Bamberg, 28/11/2008 - 28/11/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Koalitionssignale und Wahlverhalten.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Oldenburg, 11/07/2008 - 11/07/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Kausale Effekte von Koalitionssignalen? Experimentelle Evidenz.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Bern, 17/10/2008 - 17/10/2008].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2007):
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation & Coalition Governments: A Simulation and Laboratory Experiment .
[Forschungskolloquium, Lambrecht/Pfalz, 20/07/2007 - 21/07/2007].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Goldoni Goes Comparative: Institutional Incentives and Vote Choice.
[Vortrag im Rahmen des Berufungsverfahrens für einen Lehrstuhl für Politikwissenschaft (professeur ordinaire) an der Université de Genève, Genf, 08/03/2007 - 08/03/2007].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas Zittel
(2007):
Individualisierte Wahlkämpfe im Wahlkreis: Eine Analyse am Beispiel des Bundestagswahlkampfes von 2005.
[Wahlen und Repräsentation im politischen System der Bundesrepublik Deutschland, Köln, 26/03/2007 - 26/03/2007].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Contamination effects in multi-level systems of governance.
[The Multi–Level Electoral System of the EU, CONNEX-Conference (RG3), Villa La Collina, Cadenabbia, 19/03/2007 - 22/03/2007].
More
Wüst, Andreas M.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2007):
Die Bedeutung von Umfragen im Wahlkampf.
[Moderne Politikvermittlung - Neue Wahlkampfformen in der Demokratie, Berlin, 04/05/2007 - 04/05/2007].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Vorhersagen müssen keine Hexerei sein: Ein sozialwissenschaftliches Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen.
[Seminar, Universität Darmstadt, 15/06/2007 - 15/06/2007].
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2007):
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation and Coalition Governments: A Case for Experimental Triangulation.
[International Conference on Experimental Methods in Political Science, Brüssel, 14/12/2007 - 14/12/2007].
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Wüst, Andreas M.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2007):
Survey Research and Campaigns.
[3rd International Summer Academy 'Political Consulting and Strategic Campaign Communication', Bruchsal, 27/09/2007 - 27/09/2007].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Wahlprognosen sind keine Hexerei - Vorhersagemodelle zum Mimachen.
[Die Lange Nacht der Wissenschaft, Mannheim, 10/11/2007 - 10/11/2007].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael F. Meffert
(2007):
Voting for Coalitions? The Role of Coalition Preferences and Expectations in Voting Behavior.
[Voters, Coalitions, and Democratic Accountability, Workshop, Exeter, 05/10/2007 - 06/10/2007].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Marc Hooghe
(2007):
Voter Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions in Belgium. Results from an Experimental Study.
[International Conference on Experimental Methods in Political Science, Brüssel, 14/12/2007 - 14/12/2007].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
"Abgeordnetenhauswahlen sind keine Bundestagswahlen. Oder doch? Erfahrungsbericht aus Berlin.".
[Einfluss der Bundespolitik auf Landtagswahlen, Deutscher Bundestag, Berlin, 09/11/2006 - 10/11/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Pre-electoral Identifiability of potential Governments: Measurement and Consequences .
[Political and Social Sciences Research Forum, University Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, 22/02/2006 - 22/02/2006].
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Wüst, Andreas M.,
Thomas Gschwend
(2006):
Survey Research and Campaigns.
[2nd International Summer Academy on Political Consulting and Strategic Campaign Communication, Mannheim, 26/07/2006 - 26/07/2006].
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Zittel, Thomas,
Thomas Gschwend
(2006):
Der Bundestagswahlkampf von 2005 und Kollektive Repräsentation: Ein kurzer Auftakt zum langen Abschied.
[Gemeinsame Tagung der DVPW-Arbeitskreise "Politik und Kommunikation", "Wahlen und Einstellungen" und "Parteienforschung", Berlin, 19/07/2006 - 20/07/2006].
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Zittel, Thomas,
Thomas Gschwend
(2006):
Personalisierte Wahlkämpfe im Wahlkreis. Eine Analyse des Bundestagswahlkampfes von 2005.
[3-Länder-Tagung "Politik und Persönlichkeit" der ÖGPW - SVPW - DVPW, Vienna, 30/11/2006 - 02/12/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Identifiability of Coalitions, District Magnitude and Strategic Voting.
[Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 20/04/2006 - 23/04/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Martin Elff,
Ron Johnston
(2006):
What Can We Learn From Almost Nothing? An Extended Maximum Entropy Approach to Uncertainty in RxC Ecological Inference, with an Application to Split-Ticket Voting.
[Conference of the Center for American Political Studies, Harvard University, on “Democracy, Divided Government, and Split-Ticket Voting, Harvard, 26/05/2006 - 27/05/2006].
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Elff, Martin,
Thomas Gschwend
(2006):
How Much Can Be Inferred From Almost Nothing? A Maximum Entropy Approach to Fundamental Indeterminacy in Ecological Inference With an Application to District-Level Prediction of Split-Ticket Voting.
[Second international R user conference useR!, Vienna, 15/06/2006 - 17/06/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Henk van der Kolk
(2006):
Forecasting the Number of Split-Ticket Voters in Parliamentary Systems.
[Conference of the Center for American Political Studies, Harvard University, on “Democracy, Divided Government, and Split-Ticket Voting”, Harvard, 26/05/2006 - 27/05/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
District Magnitude and the Comparative Study of Strategic Voting.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, 31/08/2006 - 03/09/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Are Modern Politics still Party Politics?.
[Inaugural Conference of the Comparative Candidates Study (CCS), Bad Dürkheim, 06/10/2006 - 08/10/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Patric Andersson,
Michael F. Meffert,
Carsten Schmidt
(2006):
Forecasting the Outcome of a National Election: The Influence of Expertise, Information, and Political Preferences.
[Annual Conference of the International Communication Association, Dresden, 19/06/2006 - 23/06/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
[Annual Meeting of the Elections, Public Opinion and Parties Specialist Group of the Political Studies Association, Nottingham, 08/09/2006 - 10/09/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
[Contextual Effects in Electoral Research, Florenz, 30/11/2006 - 01/12/2006].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
[Annual National Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, 07/04/2005 - 10/04/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Electoral Studies - Editorial Board Meeting.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washigton, DC, 31/08/2005 - 04/09/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting: The Case of Portugal.
[Electoral Behaviour and Political Attitudes: Portugal in the European Context Project, Lisbon, 27/01/2005 - 28/01/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Strategic Voting in Belgium.
[Annual Politicologenetmaal, the 4th Dutch-Belgium Political Science Conference, Antwerp, 19/05/2005 - 20/05/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Ökologische Inferenz.
[Autorenkonferenz 'Methoden der Politikwissenschaft', Mannheim, 18/02/2005 - 19/02/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Henk van der Kolk
(2005):
Split ticket voting in Mixed Member Proportional Systems: The case of The Netherlands.
[Expert Meeting 'Changing the Electoral System. The Case of the Netherlands', Amsterdam, 14/09/2005 - 15/09/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Marc Hooghe
(2005):
Should I Stay or Should I Go? Voter Reactions to Pre-Electoral Coalitions. Results from an Experimental Study in Belgium.
[Annual Politicologenetmaal, the 4th Dutch-Belgium Political Science Conference, Antwerp, 18/05/2005 - 19/05/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Martin Elff
(2005):
EMax - Die Ergänzung der ökologischen Inferenz durch Survey-Daten.
[Frühjahrstagung der Ad-Hoc-Gruppe 'Empirische Methoden der Politikwissenschaft' der DVPW, Hagen, 20/05/2005 - 21/05/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Galen Irwin,
Joop van Holsteyn
(2005):
Clarity of pre-election coalitions and strategic voting in PR systems: The case of the Netherlands.
[Annual Politicologenetmaal, the 4th Dutch-Belgium Political Science Conference, Antwerp, 18/05/2005 - 19/05/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, 31/08/2005 - 04/09/2005].
More
Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting: The Case of Portugal.
[Portuguese Electoral Behavior: Comparative and Longitudinal Approaches, Lisbon, 27/01/2005 - 28/01/2005].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
Electoral Institutions and Electoral Behavior: Results of a Natural Experiment. .
[Gastvortrag, University of Leiden, 12/05/2004 - 13/05/2004].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
Wählen und Wahlsystem: Ergebnisse eines natürlichen Experiments des deutschen Mischwahlsystems.
[Gastvortrag im Rahmen des Berufungsverfahren zur Besetzung des Lehrstuhls "Methoden der Politikwissenschaft", Universität Zürich, 04/02/2004 - 04/02/2004].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
Political institutions: The impact of constitutions and election laws on the formation of political parties and party systems in the accession countries of the European Union..
[Gastvorlesung, Institut d’Études Politiques de Paris, Sciences Po, Dijon Campus, 06/04/2004 - 07/04/2004].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
MIT ROT-GRÜN INS SCHWARZE GETROFFEN: Ein sozialwissenschaftliche Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen .
[Studium Generale, Vortragsreihe 'Forum junge Wissenschaft', Mannheim, 05/05/2004 - 05/05/2004].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Michael Stoiber,
Mareen Günther
(2004):
Strategic Voting in Proportional Systems: The Case of Finland.
[Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, 15/04/2004 - 18/04/2004].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: An Empirical Test of the Leys-Sartori Conjecture.
[Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, 03/04/2003 - 06/04/2003].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, PA., 28/08/2003 - 02/09/2003].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Helmut Norpoth
(2002):
If the election were next Sunday...: A Forecast of the 2002 Bundestag Election.
[Annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston, MA, 29/08/2002 - 01/09/2002].
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Lavine, Howard,
Thomas Gschwend
(2002):
Ideology and Rationality: Issue Constraint in Political Decision-Making.
[Annual Meeting of the International Society of Political Psychology, Berlin, 16/07/2002 - 20/07/2002].
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Chad King
(2002):
The Politics of Opinion Assignment: A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach.
[Annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, 25/04/2002 - 28/04/2002].
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2001):
Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting in Mixed Electoral Systems.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, CA, 29/08/2001 - 01/09/2001].
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King, Chad,
Thomas Gschwend
(2001):
Assigning the Majority Opinion: A Replication and Extension.
[Annual Political Science Methodology Conference, Atlanta, GA, 20/07/2001 - 21/07/2001].
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Report
Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting under Mixed Electoral Rules: Evidence from Germany.
05-06.
Mannheim
.
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
04-41.
Mannheim
.
More
Johnston, Ron,
Thomas Gschwend,
Charles Pattie
(2004):
On Estimates of Split-Ticket Voting: EI and EMax.
04-40.
Mannheim
.
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Broscheid, Andreas,
Thomas Gschwend
(2003):
Augäpfel, Murmeltiere und Bayes: Zur Auswertung stochastischer Daten aus Vollerhebungen.
03/7.
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MZES Working Paper
Norpoth, Helmut,
Thomas Gschwend
(2004):
Mit Rot-Grün ins Schwarze getroffen: Prognosemodell besteht Feuertaufe.
75,
Mannheim,
MZES.
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting in Mixed Electoral Systems.
61,
Mannheim,
MZES.
More
Gschwend, Thomas,
Dirk Leuffen
(2003):
When Voters Choose Regimes: The Issue of Cohabitation in the French Elections of 2002.
63,
Mannheim,
MZES.
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Web Articles
Sohnius, Marie-Lou,
Benjamin G. Engst,
Thomas Gschwend
(2020):
Kontinuität am Bundesverfassungsgericht? Wie die Öffentlichkeit Voßkuhles und Masings Nachfolger bewertet.
2020,
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Marie-Lou Sohnius
(2019):
Prof. Dr. parl. und Dr. noparl. - Vier Buchstaben mit großem Effekt. Falscher Professorentitel macht mit großer Wahrscheinlichkeit einen Unterschied.
2019,
Osnabrück,
Deutsche Vereinigung für Politische Wissenschaft.
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Thomas König,
Marcel Neunhoeffer
(2018):
Wie das bayerische Wahlrecht die CSU begünstigt.
2018,
Hamburg,
Zeit Online.
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Simon Munzert,
Marcel Neunhoeffer,
Sebastian Sternberg,
Lukas F. Stötzer
(2017):
New German election forecast: Merkel’s party will win but lose seats.
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Norpoth, Helmut,
Thomas Gschwend
(2017):
No country for neophytes: Angela Merkel will win Germany again.
Washington, DC,
Capitol Hill Publishing.
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Gschwend, Thomas,
Roni Lehrer
(2017):
Die Minderheitsregierung ist besser als ihr Ruf.
2017,
Hamburg,
Spiegel Online.
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