(2004):
Strategic Voting in Mixed-Electoral Systems.
Reutlingen:
SFG-Servicecenter Fachverlag.
[Statistik und Wissenschaft; 2]
more
Prof. Thomas Gschwend , Ph.D.
Project director
gschwend [at] uni-mannheim [dot] de
Phone:
+49-621-181-2087
Fax:
+49-621-181-2845
Phone:
+49-621-181-2842Postal Address
University Mannheim, MZES
68131
Mannheim
Germany
Visiting Address
University Mannheim, MZES
D7, 27
Room:301
68159
Mannheim
Research Interests
- Public Opinion
- Comparative Politics
- Political Psychology
- Political Methodology
Projects
B1 Conditions of Democratic Governance
B2 Contexts for Democratic Governance
BI Associated Projects
RP7 B2 Contexts for Democratic Governance
RP7 B3 Democratic Multi-level Governance
RP6 B1 Democracy and Citizenship
RP5 B2 Political Parties and Political Linkage
RP5 B3 The Election of Parliaments as a Coordination Problem of Parties and Voters
Publications
Monographs
Editions
Gschwend, Thomas, and Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
(2007):
Forschungsdesign in der Politikwissenschaft : Probleme - Strategien - Anwendungen.
Frankfurt am Main:
Campus.
[Mannheimer Jahrbuch für Europäische Sozialforschung; 11]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
(2007):
Research Design in Political Science: How to Practice What They Preach.
Houndmills:
Palgrave Macmillan.
more
Behnke, Joachim, Thomas Gschwend, Delia Schindler and Kai-Uwe Schnapp
(Eds.)
(2006):
Methoden der Politikwissenschaft. Neuere qualitative und quantitative Analyseverfahren.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos.
more
Journal Articles
Gschwend, Thomas, and Michael F. Meffert
(2011):
Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effect.
European Journal of Political Research, 50, issue 5, p. 636-667.
more
Meffert, Michael F., Sascha Huber, Thomas Gschwend and Franz Urban Pappi
(2011):
More than wishful thinking: Causes and consequences of voters electoral expectations about parties and coalitions.
Electoral Studies, 30, issue 4, p. 804-815.
more
Meffert, Michael F., and Thomas Gschwend
(2011):
Polls, coalition signals and strategic voting: An experimental investigation of perceptions and effects.
European Journal of Political Research, 50, issue 5, p. 636-667.
more
Bräuninger, Thomas, Thomas Gschwend and Susumu Shikano
(2010):
Sachpolitik oder Parteipolitik? Eine Bestimmung des Parteidrucks im Bundesrat mittles bayesianischer Methoden.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 51, issue 2, p. 223-249.
more
Hönnige, Christoph, and Thomas Gschwend
(2010):
Das Bundesverfassungsgericht im politischen System der BRD – ein unbekanntes Wesen?.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 51, issue 3, p. 507-530.
more
Meffert, Michael F., and Thomas Gschwend
(2010):
Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria.
Electoral Studies, 29, issue 3, p. 339-349.
more
Norpoth, Helmut, and Thomas Gschwend
(2010):
The Chancellor Model: Forecasting German Elections.
International Journal of Forecasting, 26, p. 42-53.
more
Elff, Martin, Thomas Gschwend and Johnston Ron
(2008):
Ignoramus, Ignorabimus? On Uncertainty in Ecological Inference.
Political Analysis, 16, issue 1, p. 70-92.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Marc Hooghe
(2008):
Should I Stay or Should I Go? An Experimental Study on Voter Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions.
European Journal of Political Research, 47, issue 5, p. 556-577.
more
Zittel, Thomas, and Thomas Gschwend
(2008):
Individualised Constituency Campaigns in Mixed-Member Electoral Systems: Candidates in the 2005 German Elections.
West European Politics, 31, issue 5, p. 879-1003.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Berliner Abgeordnetenhauswahlen 1979 bis 2001: keine Testwahlen für die Bundesebene.
Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen , 38, issue 3, p. 531-540.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting and Party System Change in Portugal.
Portuguese Journal of Social Science, 6, issue 1, p. 15-31.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Ticket-splitting and strategic voting under mixed electoral rules: Evidence from Germany.
European Journal of Political Research, 46, issue 1, p. 1-23.
more
Lavine, Howard, and Thomas Gschwend
(2007):
Issues, Parties and Character: The Moderating Role of Ideological Thinking on Candidate Evaluation.
British Journal of Political Science, 37, issue 1, p. 139-163.
more
Zittel, Thomas, and Thomas Gschwend
(2007):
Individualisierte Wahlkämpfe im Wahlkreis. Eine Analyse am Beispiel des Bundestagswahlkampfes von 2005.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 48, issue 2, p. 293-321.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Henk van der Kolk
(2006):
Split Ticket Voting in Mixed Member Proportional Systems: The Hypothetical Case of The Netherlands.
Acta Politica, 41, issue 2, p. 163-179.
more
Wüst, Andreas M., Hermann Schmitt, Thomas Gschwend and Thomas Zittel
(2006):
Candidates in the 2005 Bundestag Election: Mode of Candidacy, Campaigning and Issues.
German Politics, 15, issue 4, p. 420-438.
more
Broscheid, Andreas, and Thomas Gschwend
(2005):
Zur statistischen Analyse von Vollerhebungen.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 46, issue 1, p. O-16 – O-26.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Analyzing Quota Sample Data and the Peer-Review Process.
French Politics, 3, issue 1, p. 88-91.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Dirk Leuffen
(2005):
Divided We Stand - Unified We Govern? Cohabitation and Regime Voting in the 2002 French Elections.
British Journal of Political Science, 35, p. 691-712.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Helmut Norpoth
(2005):
Prognosemodell auf dem Prüfstand: Die Bundestagswahl 2005.
Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 46, issue 4, p. 682-688.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Iterative EI-Schätzungen und das interne Konsistenzproblem.
Wirtschaft und Statistik, issue 3, p. 262-267.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Helmut Norpoth
(2003):
Knapp aber vorhersehbar: Schröders Wahlsieg.
FORUM - Forschung Universität Mannheim, p. 10-13.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, Ron Johnston and Charles Pattie
(2003):
Split-Ticket Patterns in Mixed-Member Proportional Election Systems: Estimates and Analyses of their Spatial Variation at the German Federal Election, 1998.
British Journal of Political Science, 33, p. 109-127.
more
Norpoth, Helmut, and Thomas Gschwend
(2003):
Against all Odds?: The Red-Green Victory.
German Politics and Society, issue 21, p. 15-34.
more
Book Chapters
Bytzek, Evelyn, Thomas Gschwend, Sascha Huber, Eric Linhart and Michael F. Meffert
(2012):
Koalitionssignale und ihre Wirkungen auf Wahlentscheidungen.
p. 393-418 in:
Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck
(Ed.)
Wählen in Deutschland.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Thomas Zittel
(2012):
Machen Wahlkreiskandidaten einen Unterschied? Die Persönlichkeitswahl als interaktiver Prozess.
p. 371-392 in:
Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck
(Ed.)
Wählen in Deutschland.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos Verlag.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Thomas Zittel
(2011):
Machen Wahlkreiskandidaten einen Unterschied? Die Persönlichkeitswahl als interaktiver Prozess.
p. 371-392 in:
Wählen in Deutschland.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos.
more
Hooghe, Marc, Sofie Marien and Thomas Gschwend
(2011):
Gathering Counter-Factual Evidence: An Experimental Study on Voters’ Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions.
p. 413-440 in:
Bernhard Kittel, Wolfgang J. Luhan, Rebecca B. Morton
(Eds.)
Experimental Political Science: Principles and Practices.
Basingstoke:
Palgrave Macmillan.
more
Meffert, Michael F., and Thomas Gschwend
(2011):
Experimental Triangulation of Coalition Signals: Varying Designs, Converging Results.
p. 249-283 in:
Bernhard Kittel, Wolfgang J. Luhan, Rebecca B. Morton
(Eds.)
Experimental Political Science: Principles and Practices.
Basingstoke:
Palgrave Macmillan.
more
Blais, André, and Thomas Gschwend
(2010):
Strategic Defection across Elections, Parties, and Voters.
p. 176-196 in:
Christopher Anderson, Russell Dalton
(Eds.)
Citizens, Context, and Choice: How the Political Context Shapes Electoral Behavior.
Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2009):
District Magnitude and the Comparative Study of Strategic Voting.
p. 289-307 in:
Hans-Dieter Klingemann
(Ed.)
The Comparative Study of Electoral Systems.
Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
more
Huber, Sascha, Thomas Gschwend, Michael F. Meffert and Franz Urban Pappi
(2009):
Erwartungsbildung über den Wahlausgang und ihr Einfluss auf die Wahlentscheidung.
p. 561-584 in:
Oscar W. Gabriel, Bernhard Wessels, Jürgen W. Falter
(Eds.)
Wahlen und Wähler. Analysen aus Anlass der Bundestagswahl 2005.
Wiesbaden:
VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
more
Meffert, Michael F., and Thomas Gschwend
(2009):
Strategisches Wählen in Mehrparteiensystemen: ein Gruppenexperiment.
p. 107-132 in:
Eric Linhart, Susumu Shikano
(Eds.)
Parteienwettbewerb, Wählerverhalten und Koalitionsbildung. Festschrift zum 70. Geburtstag von Franz Urban Pappi.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Abgeordnetenhauswahlen sind keine Bundestagswahlen. Oder doch? Erfahrungsbericht aus Berlin.
p. 93-120 in:
Kerstin Völkl, Kai-Uwe Schnapp, Everhard Holtmann, Oscar W. Gabriel
(Eds.)
Wähler und Landtagswahlen in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Studying Contamination Effects in Multi-Level Systems of Governance: First Thoughts about Hypotheses and Research Design.
p. 229-240 in:
Schmitt Hermann
(Ed.)
The Multilevel Electoral System of the EU.
Mannheim.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Frank Schimmelfennig
(2007):
Conclusion: Lessons for the Dialogue between Theory and Data.
p. 216-225 in:
Thomas Gschwend, Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Research Design in Political Science. How to Practice What They Preach.
Houndmills:
Palgrave Macmillan.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Frank Schimmelfennig
(2007):
Forschungsdesign in der Politikwissenschaft: Ein Dialog zwischen Theorie und Daten.
p. 13-35 in:
Thomas Gschwend, Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Forschungsdesign in der Politikwissenschaft. Probleme - Strategien - Anwendungen.
Frankfurt/Main:
Campus Verlag.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Frank Schimmelfennig
(2007):
Introduction: Designing Research in Political Science - A Dialogue between Theory and Data.
p. 1-18 in:
Gschwend Thomas, Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Research Design in Political Science. How to Practice What They Preach..
Houndmills:
Palgrave Macmillan.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Frank Schimmelfennig
(2007):
Lehren für den Dialog zwischen Theorie und Daten.
p. 323-336 in:
Thomas Gschwend, Frank Schimmelfennig
(Eds.)
Forschungsdesign in der Politikwissenschaft. Probleme - Strategien - Anwendungen.
Frankfurt/Main:
Campus Verlag.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Ökologische Inferenz.
p. 227-237 in:
Joachim Behnke, Thomas Gschwend, Delia Schindler, Kai-Uwe Schnapp
(Eds.)
Methoden der Politikwissenschaft. Neuere qualitative und quantitative Analyseverfahren.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos.
more
Schnapp, Kai-Uwe, Delia Schindler, Thomas Gschwend and Joachim Behnke
(2006):
Qualitative und Quantitative Zugänge: Eine integrative Perspektive.
p. 11-26 in:
Joachim Behnke, Thomas Gschwend, Delia Schindler, Kai-Uwe Schnapp
(Eds.)
Methoden der Politikwissenschaft. Neuere qualitative und quantitative Analyseverfahren.
Baden-Baden:
Nomos.
more
Norpoth, Helmut, and Thomas Gschwend
(2005):
Mit Rot-Grün ins Schwarze getroffen: Prognosemodell besteht Feuertaufe.
p. 371-387 in:
Jürgen W. Falter, Oscar W. Gabriel, Bernhard Wessels
(Eds.)
Wahlen und Wähler. Analysen aus Anlass der Bundestagswahl 2002.
Wiesbaden:
Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
more
Pappi, Franz Urban, and Thomas Gschwend
(2005):
Partei- und Koalitionspräferenzen der Wähler bei den Bundestagswahlen 1998 und 2002.
p. 284-305 in:
Jürgen W. Falter, Oscar W. Gabriel, Bernhard Wessels
(Eds.)
Wahlen und Wähler.
Wiesbaden:
Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Franz Urban Pappi
(2004):
Stimmensplitting und Koalitionswahl [Ticket-Splitting and Coalition Voting].
p. 167-183 in:
Frank Brettschneider, Edeltraud Roller
(Eds.)
Bundestagswahl 2002 [German Federal Election 2002].
Wiesbaden:
VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Dirk Leuffen
(2004):
Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place: Electoral Dilemmas and Turnout in the 2002 French Legislative Elections.
p. 155-177 in:
Michael Lewis-Beck
(Ed.)
The French Voter: Before and After the 2002 Elections.
Houndmills, Basingstoke:
Palgrave.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Statistical Control.
p. 1076 in:
Michael Lewis-Beck, Alan Bryman, Tim Futing Liao
(Eds.)
Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods.
Newbury Park, CA:
Sage.
more
Norpoth, Helmut, and Thomas Gschwend
(2003):
Politbarometer und Wahlprognosen: Die Kanzlerfrage..
p. 109-123 in:
Politbarometer.
Opladen:
Leske + Budrich.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Helmut Norpoth
(2001):
'Wenn am nächsten Sonntag ...': Ein Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen.
p. 473-499 in:
Hans-Dieter Klingemann, Max Kaase
(Eds.)
Wahlen und Wähler: Analysen aus Anlass der Bundestagswahl 1998.
Wiesbaden:
Westdeutscher Verlag.
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Helmut Norpoth
(2000):
Soll und Haben: Die deutsche Wählerschaft rechnet mit den Parteien ab.
p. 389 - 409 in:
Markus Klein, Wolfgang Jagodzinski, Ekkehard Mochmann, Dieter Ohr
(Eds.)
50 Jahre Empirische Wahlforschung in Deutschland. Entwicklung, Befunde, Perspektiven, Daten.
Wiesbaden:
Westdeutscher Verlag.
more
MZES Working Papers
Norpoth, Helmut, and Thomas Gschwend
(2004):
Mit Rot-Grün ins Schwarze getroffen: Prognosemodell besteht Feuertaufe.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 75]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting in Mixed Electoral Systems.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 61]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Dirk Leuffen
(2003):
When Voters Choose Regimes: The Issue of Cohabitation in the French Elections of 2002.
Mannheim
[Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung: Arbeitspapiere; 63]
more
Papers / Reports
Gschwend, Thomas, and Thomas Zittel
(2010):
Machen Wahlkreiskandidaten einen Unterschied? Personalisierung als interaktiver Prozess.
more
Meffert, Michael F., and Thomas Gschwend
(2007):
Voting for Coalitions? The Role of Coalition Preferences.
Chicago
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting: The Case of Portugal.
Lisbon, Portugal
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting under Mixed Electoral Rules: Evidence from Germany.
Mannheim
[SFB 504 discussion paper]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
Mannheim
[SFB 504 discussion paper]
more
Johnston, Ron, Thomas Gschwend and Charles Pattie
(2004):
On Estimates of Split-Ticket Voting: EI and EMax.
Mannheim
[SFB 504 discussion paper]
more
Broscheid, Andreas, and Thomas Gschwend
(2003):
Augäpfel, Murmeltiere und Bayes: Zur Auswertung stochastischer Daten aus Vollerhebungen.
[MPIfG Working Paper]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
Philadelphia, PA.
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2003):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: An Empirical Test of the Leys-Sartori Conjecture.
Chicago, IL
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Helmut Norpoth
(2002):
If the election were next Sunday...: A Forecast of the 2002 Bundestag Election.
Boston, MA
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Chad King
(2002):
The Politics of Opinion Assignment: A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach.
Chicago, IL
more
Lavine, Howard, and Thomas Gschwend
(2002):
Ideology and Rationality: Issue Constraint in Political Decision-Making.
Berlin
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2001):
Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting in Mixed Electoral Systems.
San Francisco, CA
more
King, Chad, and Thomas Gschwend
(2001):
Assigning the Majority Opinion: A Replication and Extension..
Atlanta, GA
more
Conference Presentations
Gschwend, Thomas, Markus Wagner, Eva Zeglovits and Sylvia Kritzinger
(2012):
Sequencing Effekte: Links-Rechts-Positionierung und weitere Instrumententests in AUTNES.
[AUTNES, Vienna, November 08th to November 09th, 2012]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, Markus Wagner, Eva Zeglovits and Sylvia Kritzinger
(2012):
Sequencing Effekte: Links-Rechts-Positionierung und weitere Survey Experimente.
[AUTNES, Vienna, October 04th to October 05th, 2012]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2012):
Strategic Voting: Coalitions, Preferences and Expectations.
[AUTNES, Vienna, September 20th, 2012]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2012):
Strategic Voting: Coalitions, Preferences and Expectations.
[AUTNES, Vienna, October 04th to October 05th, 2012]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Thomas Zittel
(2011):
Do Constituency Candidates Matter in German Federal Elections? The Personal Vote as an Interactive Process.
[1st Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, Dublin, June 16th to June 18th, 2011]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Sven-Oliver Proksch
(2010):
Improving the Measurement of Policy Preferences in Surveys: Bringing the Status-Quo back in.
[REPCONG-Workshop "Policy Representation Europe", Mannheim, May 28th to May 29th, 2010]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, Matthias Shugart and Thomas Zittel
(2009):
Assigning Committee Seats in Mixed-Member Systems - How Important is “Localness” compared to the Mode of Election?.
[ECPR General Conference, Potsdam, September 10th to September 12th, 2009]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2009):
Siegt 2009 Schwarz-Gelb? Wahlprognosen per Zauberformel.
[Vortrag, Gütersloh, September 10th, 2009]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2009):
Über elektorale Folgen der Politikverflechtung in Mehrebenensystemen: Auswirkungen der bundespolitischen Großwetterlage und Landtagswahlen.
[Jahrestagung des Arbeitskreises "Wahlen und politische Einstellungen" der DVPW, Frankfurt am Main, May 07th to May 08th, 2009]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2009):
Über elektorale Folgen der Politikverflechtung in Mehrebenensystemen: Auswirkungen der bundespolitschen Großwetterlage und Landtagswahlen.
[Jahrestagung des AK Wahlen und politische Einstellungen der DVPW, Frankfurt/Main, May 07th to May 08th, 2009]
more
Meffert, Michael F., and Thomas Gschwend
(2009):
Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effects..
[8. Politicologenetmaal der Niederländisch-Flämischen Politikwissenschaftler, Berg en Dal, May 29th to May 30th, 2009]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Kausale Effekte von Koalitionssignalen? Experimentelle Evidenz.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Bern, October 17th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Kausale Inferenz mit Koalitionssignalen.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Zürich, September 22nd, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Koalitionssignale und Wahlverhalten.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Oldenburg, July 11th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, Michael F. Meffert, Sascha Huber and Franz Urban Pappi
(2008):
More than Wishful Thinking: Causes and Consequences of Voter's Expectations about Election Outcomes.
[International Communication Association, Annual Meeting, Montréal, May 22nd to May 26th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Polls, Coalition Signals, and Strategic Voting: An Experimental Investigation of Perceptions and Effects.
[AK Wahlen, Annual Meeting, Duisburg, May 15th to May 16th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Thomas Zittel
(2008):
Presentation of Country Database Issues: Germany.
[Workshop on “Electoral Systems and Party Personnel, Del Mar, CA, August 25th to August 27th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (APSA), Boston, Mass., August 28th to August 31st, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation and Coalition governments: A Laboratory Experiment.
[International Society for Political Psychology, Annual Meeting, Paris, July 09th to July 12th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Strategisches Wählerverhalten und Wahlsystem.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Bamberg, November 28th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Strategisches Wahlverhalten in Mehrparteiensystemen: Ein Gruppenexperiment.
[AK Handlungs- und Entscheidungstheorie, DVPW, Annual Meeting, Mainz, June 27th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
Vorhersagen müssen keine Hexerei sein.
[Gastvorlesung Universität Darmstadt, Darmstadt, June 13th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Michael F. Meffert
(2008):
Voting for Coalitions? The Role of Coalition Preferences.
[Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April 03rd to April 06th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2008):
X-zentriert statt x-beliebig: Zur Bedeutung von Randomisierung für Kausalanalysen der Politik- und Verwaltungsforschung.
[Gastvorlesung, Universität Konstanz, November 14th, 2008]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Contamination effects in multi-level systems of governance.
[The Multi–Level Electoral System of the EU, CONNEX-Conference (RG3), Villa La Collina, Cadenabbia, March 19th to March 22nd, 2007]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Goldoni Goes Comparative: Institutional Incentives and Vote Choice.
[Vortrag im Rahmen des Berufungsverfahrens für einen Lehrstuhl für Politikwissenschaft (professeur ordinaire) an der Université de Genève, Genf, March 08th, 2007]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Thomas Zittel
(2007):
Individualisierte Wahlkämpfe im Wahlkreis: Eine Analyse am Beispiel des Bundestagswahlkampfes von 2005.
[Wahlen und Repräsentation im politischen System der Bundesrepublik Deutschland, Köln, March 26th, 2007]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Michael F. Meffert
(2007):
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation & Coalition Governments: A Simulation and Laboratory Experiment.
[Forschungskolloquium, Lambrecht/Pfalz, July 20th to July 21st, 2007]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Michael F. Meffert
(2007):
Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation and Coalition Governments: A Case for Experimental Triangulation.
[International Conference on Experimental Methods in Political Science, Brüssel, December 14th, 2007]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Vorhersagen müssen keine Hexerei sein: Ein sozialwissenschaftliches Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen.
[Seminar, Universität Darmstadt, June 15th, 2007]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Marc Hooghe
(2007):
Voter Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions in Belgium. Results from an Experimental Study.
[International Conference on Experimental Methods in Political Science, Brüssel, December 14th, 2007]
more
Gschwend, Thomas, and Michael F. Meffert
(2007):
Voting for Coalitions? The Role of Coalition Preferences and Expectations in Voting Behavior.
[Voters, Coalitions, and Democratic Accountability, Workshop, Exeter, October 05th to October 06th, 2007]
more
Gschwend, Thomas
(2007):
Wahlprognosen sind keine Hexerei - Vorhersagemodelle zum Mimachen.
[Die Lange Nacht der Wissenschaft, Mannheim, November 10th, 2007]
more
Wüst, Andreas M., and Thomas Gschwend
(2007):
Die Bedeutung von Umfragen im Wahlkampf.
[Moderne Politikvermittlung - Neue Wahlkampfformen in der Demokratie, Berlin, May 04th, 2007]
more
Wüst, Andreas M., and Thomas Gschwend
(2007):
Survey Research and Campaigns.
[3rd International Summer Academy 'Political Consulting and Strategic Campaign Communication', Bruchsal, September 27th, 2007]
more
Elff, Martin, and Thomas Gschwend
(2006):
How Much Can Be Inferred From Almost Nothing? A Maximum Entropy Approach to Fundamental Indeterminacy in Ecological Inference With an Application to District-Level Prediction of Split-Ticket Voting.
[Second international R user conference useR!, Vienna, June 15th to June 17th, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
"Abgeordnetenhauswahlen sind keine Bundestagswahlen. Oder doch? Erfahrungsbericht aus Berlin.".
[Einfluss der Bundespolitik auf Landtagswahlen, Deutscher Bundestag, Berlin, November 09th to November 10th, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Are Modern Politics still Party Politics?.
[Inaugural Conference of the Comparative Candidates Study (CCS), Bad Dürkheim, October 06th to October 08th, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
[Contextual Effects in Electoral Research, Florenz, November 30th to December 01st, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
[Annual Meeting of the Elections, Public Opinion and Parties Specialist Group of the Political Studies Association, Nottingham, September 08th to September 10th, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
District Magnitude and the Comparative Study of Strategic Voting.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, August 31st to September 03rd, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas, and Henk van der Kolk
(2006):
Forecasting the Number of Split-Ticket Voters in Parliamentary Systems.
[Conference of the Center for American Political Studies, Harvard University, on “Democracy, Divided Government, and Split-Ticket Voting”, Harvard, May 26th to May 27th, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas, Patric Andersson, Michael F. Meffert and Carsten Schmidt
(2006):
Forecasting the Outcome of a National Election: The Influence of Expertise, Information, and Political Preferences.
[Annual Conference of the International Communication Association, Dresden, June 19th to June 23rd, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Identifiability of Coalitions, District Magnitude and Strategic Voting.
[Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April 20th to April 23rd, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2006):
Pre-electoral Identifiability of potential Governments: Measurement and Consequences.
[Political and Social Sciences Research Forum, University Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, February 22nd, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas, Martin Elff and Ron Johnston
(2006):
What Can We Learn From Almost Nothing? An Extended Maximum Entropy Approach to Uncertainty in RxC Ecological Inference, with an Application to Split-Ticket Voting.
[Conference of the Center for American Political Studies, Harvard University, on “Democracy, Divided Government, and Split-Ticket Voting, Harvard, May 26th to May 27th, 2006]
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Wüst, Andreas M., and Thomas Gschwend
(2006):
Survey Research and Campaigns.
[2nd International Summer Academy on Political Consulting and Strategic Campaign Communication, Mannheim, July 26th, 2006]
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Zittel, Thomas, and Thomas Gschwend
(2006):
Der Bundestagswahlkampf von 2005 und Kollektive Repräsentation: Ein kurzer Auftakt zum langen Abschied.
[Gemeinsame Tagung der DVPW-Arbeitskreise "Politik und Kommunikation", "Wahlen und Einstellungen" und "Parteienforschung", Berlin, July 19th to July 20th, 2006]
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Zittel, Thomas, and Thomas Gschwend
(2006):
Personalisierte Wahlkämpfe im Wahlkreis. Eine Analyse des Bundestagswahlkampfes von 2005.
[3-Länder-Tagung "Politik und Persönlichkeit" der ÖGPW - SVPW - DVPW, Vienna, November 30th to December 02nd, 2006]
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Gschwend, Thomas, Galen Irwin and Joop van Holsteyn
(2005):
Clarity of pre-election coalitions and strategic voting in PR systems: The case of the Netherlands.
[Annual Politicologenetmaal, the 4th Dutch-Belgium Political Science Conference, Antwerp, May 18th to May 19th, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
[Annual National Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 07th to April 10th, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Comparative Politics of Strategic Voting: A Hierarchy of Electoral Systems.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, August 31st to September 04th, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Electoral Studies - Editorial Board Meeting.
[Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washigton, DC, August 31st to September 04th, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas, and Martin Elff
(2005):
EMax - Die Ergänzung der ökologischen Inferenz durch Survey-Daten.
[Frühjahrstagung der Ad-Hoc-Gruppe 'Empirische Methoden der Politikwissenschaft' der DVPW, Hagen, May 20th to May 21st, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting: The Case of Portugal.
[Electoral Behaviour and Political Attitudes: Portugal in the European Context Project, Lisbon, January 27th to January 28th, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Ökologische Inferenz.
[Autorenkonferenz 'Methoden der Politikwissenschaft', Mannheim, February 18th to February 19th, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas, and Marc Hooghe
(2005):
Should I Stay or Should I Go? Voter Reactions to Pre-Electoral Coalitions. Results from an Experimental Study in Belgium.
[Annual Politicologenetmaal, the 4th Dutch-Belgium Political Science Conference, Antwerp, May 18th to May 19th, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas, and Henk van der Kolk
(2005):
Split ticket voting in Mixed Member Proportional Systems: The case of The Netherlands.
[Expert Meeting 'Changing the Electoral System. The Case of the Netherlands', Amsterdam, September 14th to September 15th, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2005):
Strategic Voting in Belgium.
[Annual Politicologenetmaal, the 4th Dutch-Belgium Political Science Conference, Antwerp, May 19th to May 20th, 2005]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
Electoral Institutions and Electoral Behavior: Results of a Natural Experiment..
[Gastvortrag, University of Leiden, May 12th to May 13th, 2004]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
MIT ROT-GRÜN INS SCHWARZE GETROFFEN: Ein sozialwissenschaftliche Prognosemodell für Bundestagswahlen.
[Studium Generale, Vortragsreihe 'Forum junge Wissenschaft', Mannheim, May 05th, 2004]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
Political institutions: The impact of constitutions and election laws on the formation of political parties and party systems in the accession countries of the European Union..
[Gastvorlesung, Institut d’Études Politiques de Paris, Sciences Po, Dijon Campus, April 06th to April 07th, 2004]
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Gschwend, Thomas, Michael Stoiber and Mareen Günther
(2004):
Strategic Voting in Proportional Systems: The Case of Finland.
[Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 15th to April 18th, 2004]
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Gschwend, Thomas
(2004):
Wählen und Wahlsystem: Ergebnisse eines natürlichen Experiments des deutschen Mischwahlsystems.
[Gastvortrag im Rahmen des Berufungsverfahren zur Besetzung des Lehrstuhls "Methoden der Politikwissenschaft", Universität Zürich, February 04th, 2004]
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